Do I ship it?

GamesHack and SlashHack and Slash + Runner

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Runner Hack and Slash game?

Hack and Slash + Runner

Only 15 developers shipped a Runner Hack and Slash game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Bloodthief, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 39 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper, while revenue is down 95% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 39 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hack and Slash + Runner
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $17k → $449 → $1.7k → $3.9k → $0 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hack and Slash + Runner: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $6.7k (exactly $6,742)
Top 5% $610k (exactly $609,895)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 66
Announced 39
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hack and Slash
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Hack and Slash, Runner; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Swordplay, 3D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, Fast-Paced, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 1,265 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $600k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hack and Slash with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Turn-BasedStrong odds8 devs · median $14k · 1 announced
  2. + Turn-Based CombatStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + VampiresFair32 devs · median $7.2k · 37 announced
  4. + ModernFair13 devs · median $7.2k · 20 announced
  5. + IdlerFair32 devs · median $6.4k · 50 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair40 devs · median $1.7k · 57 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds11 devs · median $119k · 25 announced
  8. + Visual NovelPoor odds11 devs · median $85k · 22 announced
  9. + Character Action GamePoor odds27 devs · median $58k · 80 announced
  10. + DestructionPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $33k · 20 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds12 devs · median $21k · 26 announced

All 175 pairs on the Hack and Slash page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ghostrunner 2 older $39.99 7,981 80% 239k $9.6M (exactly $9,574,806) One More Level
Bloodthief $19.99 1,017 95% 31k $610k (exactly $609,895) Blargis
Super Meat Boy Forever older $4.99 1,881 58% 56k $282k (exactly $281,586) Team Meat
Rabbit Riot older $39.99 49 87% 1.5k $59k (exactly $58,785) Reactor Studios
Sex Apocalypse 2 older $9.99 195 55% 5.9k $58k (exactly $58,442) Octo Games
Hell of an Office $14.99 121 89% 3.6k $54k (exactly $54,414) 43 Studios
绝命游歌 older $6.99 159 82% 4.8k $33k (exactly $33,342) DreamStep, Wild Kid Games
SpeedOverflow older $4.99 116 72% 3.5k $17k (exactly $17,365) 狼烟
Zombie Simulator older $4.99 100 81% 3.0k $15k (exactly $14,970) ZHANG FAN
RHYTHMKILL $9.99 45 82% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) GETTAKE
EvoWars: New Era $8.99 25 72% 750 $6.7k (exactly $6,742) Night Steed Games
Super Miners · EA $9.99 13 92% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) METAGAR
the Shadow of Swallow $3.99 30 76% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) Raine Studio
Vanguard - Idle Auto Battler $2.99 7 57% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Beep2Bleep
Zodiac Revenger $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Backwards Art
NecroKitty $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) GOTH PUPPY GAMES, thegoblinworks
Everyone Moves With You $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) DIG Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.