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Should I ship a Mystery Hack and Slash game?
Hack and Slash + Mystery
Of 53 developers who shipped a Mystery Hack and Slash game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 151 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×404 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 151 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) |
| Top 25% | $6.0k (exactly $5,994) |
| Top 5% | $254k (exactly $253,603) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 53 |
| Released games | 166 |
| Announced | 151 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.00 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Hack and Slash
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Mystery
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Hack and Slash; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, RPG, Adventure
- Price point
- $8.00 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Story Rich, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.00.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 17,902 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 151 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Hack and Slash with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Turn-BasedStrong odds
- + Turn-Based CombatStrong odds
- + VampiresFair
- + ModernFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + RomancePoor odds
- + Visual NovelPoor odds
- + Character Action GamePoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Onimusha: Way of the Sword | $69.99 | 11,279 89% | 338k | $24M (exactly $23,682,516) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. | |
| | Judgment | older | $39.99 | 9,407 93% | 282k | $11M (exactly $11,285,578) | RGG Studio |
| | Echoes of Aincrad | $69.99 | 4,108 47% | 123k | $8.6M (exactly $8,625,568) | Game Studio Inc. | |
| | The Dark Pictures Anthology: The Devil in Me | older | $39.99 | 3,778 56% | 113k | $4.5M (exactly $4,532,467) | Supermassive Games |
| | SOUTH PARK: SNOW DAY! | older | $29.99 | 3,111 48% | 93k | $2.8M (exactly $2,798,967) | Question |
| | Eternights | older | $29.99 | 3,046 85% | 91k | $2.7M (exactly $2,740,486) | Studio Sai |
| | Narita Boy | older | $24.99 | 1,162 79% | 35k | $871k (exactly $871,151) | Studio Koba |
| | Omensight: Definitive Edition | older | $19.99 | 1,174 88% | 35k | $704k (exactly $704,048) | Spearhead Games |
| | Touken Ranbu Warriors | older | $59.99 | 197 87% | 5.9k | $355k (exactly $354,541) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Evil School | $7.99 | 1,058 92% | 32k | $254k (exactly $253,603) | CineGame Interactive | |
| | Bendy: Lone Wolf | $19.99 | 259 77% | 7.8k | $155k (exactly $155,322) | Joey Drew Studios | |
| | Journey to Incrementalia | $4.99 | 894 86% | 27k | $134k (exactly $133,832) | Adam Travers | |
| | CODE Bunny | $9.99 | 143 93% | 4.3k | $43k (exactly $42,857) | Team Seventh Star | |
| | Marko: Beyond Brave | $19.50 | 47 65% | 1.4k | $27k (exactly $27,495) | Studio Mechka | |
| | Ragnar | $14.99 | 61 83% | 1.8k | $27k (exactly $27,432) | Fimbulwinter Games | |
| | Mai: Child of Ages | $14.99 | 34 88% | 1.0k | $15k (exactly $15,290) | Chubby Pixel | |
| | Abyss: New Dawn | · EA | $24.99 | 19 63% | 570 | $14k (exactly $14,244) | Aloya Productions |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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