Do I ship it?

GamesGrid-Based MovementGrid-Based Movement + Music

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Music Grid-Based Movement game?

Grid-Based Movement + Music

Only 7 developers shipped a Music Grid-Based Movement game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, GRIDbeat!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $23k, ×48 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $55k, ×117 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 47.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 15 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grid-Based Movement + Music
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Grid-Based Movement + Music: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $478 (exactly $478)
Median $23k (exactly $22,772)
Top 25% $30k (exactly $29,987)
Top 5% $56k (exactly $55,772)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 27
Announced 15
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Music
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Grid-Based Movement
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,029 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $23k, 1 in 4 over $29k, 1 in 20 over $55k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grid-Based Movement with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair22 devs · median $3.0k · 30 announced
  2. + EconomyFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 29 announced
  3. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $959 · 26 announced
  4. + MiningFair12 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair17 devs · median $809 · 17 announced
  6. + BuildingFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  7. + HackingFair14 devs · median $719 · 11 announced
  8. + SokobanFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  9. + ProgrammingFair23 devs · median $599 · 24 announced
  10. + DogsFair14 devs · median $599 · 7 announced
  11. + PlatformerFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  12. + Puzzle PlatformerFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced

All 126 pairs on the Grid-Based Movement page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Felix The Reaper older $9.99 217 80% 6.5k $65k (exactly $65,035) Kong Orange
GRIDbeat! $19.99 93 100% 2.8k $56k (exactly $55,772) Ridiculous Games
Temple Of Snek older $14.99 102 90% 3.1k $46k (exactly $45,869) Aetheric Games
Zen Garden older $9.99 136 73% 4.1k $41k (exactly $40,759) 300 fps
KAZ $6.99 143 94% 4.3k $30k (exactly $29,987) Kalinarm
Tempopo $19.99 39 97% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Witch Beam
Swan Song $7.99 95 96% 2.9k $23k (exactly $22,772) Business Goose Studios
Hentai Boy older $4.99 131 79% 3.9k $20k (exactly $19,611) Hentai X
Dreamsweeper older $9.99 38 76% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) Etherlight, Oatmello
Highway of death older $1.99 35 68% 1.1k $2.1k (exactly $2,090) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Thirsty Bird · EA $1.99 8 100% 240 $478 (exactly $478) Ben Sulzinsky
ELLUSION $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Project Oops!
Drawtris $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) elcanogames, LunaVioleta Estudios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.