Do I ship it?

GamesGrand StrategyGrand Strategy + Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Shooter Grand Strategy?

Grand Strategy + Shooter

Only 10 developers shipped a Shooter Grand Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Death row inmates on the run 2--The Resistance, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $75. 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper, while revenue is down 20% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 21 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grand Strategy + Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $3.1k → $1.3k
Outcomes for Grand Strategy + Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $75 (exactly $75)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,148)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $18,034)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 41
Announced 21
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grand Strategy
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Grand Strategy, Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 178 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $75, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $75. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grand Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 22 announced
  2. + SportsFair21 devs · median $2.1k · 26 announced
  3. + RogueliteFair21 devs · median $2.0k · 23 announced
  4. + CrimeFair8 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + RacingFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 27 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot21 devs · median $750 · 38 announced
  8. + TabletopLong shot26 devs · median $450 · 26 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $131k · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds59 devs · median $51k · 125 announced
  11. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $37k · 29 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds54 devs · median $34k · 117 announced

All 104 pairs on the Grand Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Total Conflict: Resistance · EA older $29.99 5,089 74% 153k $4.6M (exactly $4,578,573) Thunder Devs.
Home Wars older $9.99 1,141 78% 34k $342k (exactly $341,958) Insane Dreamers
Attack on Toys · EA older $6.99 1,158 93% 35k $243k (exactly $242,833) N7T-GAMES
Street Lords older $14.99 115 57% 3.5k $52k (exactly $51,716) Studio HK
Control Craft 2 older $4.99 274 72% 8.2k $41k (exactly $41,018) Cristian Manolachi, Atomic Fabrik
Death row inmates on the run 2--The Resistance $6.99 86 55% 2.6k $18k (exactly $18,034) zzzgame
Desert Special Forces older $19.99 20 65% 600 $12k (exactly $11,994) Gamesforgames
Inheritors2078 older $11.99 19 63% 570 $6.8k (exactly $6,834) Elhaitham Ashmawy, Mohamed Eshmawy, Nou… (Elhaitham Ashmawy, Mohamed Eshmawy, Nour Ashmawy)
Energy Island Corp. older $5.99 34 88% 1.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,110) SpirkopGames
The Armed Shadow $9.99 17 94% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Gamesforgames
Survalker $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames
Scionide · EA $14.99 7 71% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) SYONIX
MEMOLOGY: ITALIAN MEME WAR $0.99 45 97% 1.4k $1.3k (exactly $1,336) Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm
Infinite Evo TD $4.99 4 25% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Starchase Games
GALAXY WARS Ⅱ $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) JIT Inc
Beyond The Second Hour $1.25 2 50% 60 $75 (exactly $75) Mohamed Samy
Virtual Campus $0.99 1 0% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Virtual teacher
zombie tide incoming Rising $0.99 1 0% 30 $30 (exactly $30) AA Mini Games Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.