Do I ship it?

GamesGrand StrategyGrand Strategy + Rome

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roman Grand Strategy?

Grand Strategy + Rome

Only 7 developers shipped a Roman Grand Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pax Augusta, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.4k against a market of $1.5k. 6 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 6 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grand Strategy + Rome
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Grand Strategy + Rome: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $3.0k (exactly $2,967)
Median $3.4k (exactly $3,352)
Top 25% $72k (exactly $71,976)
Top 5% $423k (exactly $422,831)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 31
Announced 6
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grand Strategy
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Rome
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Grand Strategy
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 119,942 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.0k, median $3.4k, 1 in 4 over $71k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.0k. 6 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grand Strategy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 22 announced
  2. + SportsFair21 devs · median $2.1k · 26 announced
  3. + RogueliteFair21 devs · median $2.0k · 23 announced
  4. + CrimeFair8 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + RacingFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 27 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot21 devs · median $750 · 38 announced
  8. + TabletopLong shot26 devs · median $450 · 26 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $131k · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds59 devs · median $51k · 125 announced
  11. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $37k · 29 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds54 devs · median $34k · 117 announced

All 104 pairs on the Grand Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition older $29.99 54,547 87% 1.6M $49M (exactly $49,075,936) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive
Imperator: Rome older $39.99 19,492 65% 585k $23M (exactly $23,384,552) Paradox Development Studio
Total War: ATTILA older $19.99 26,918 82% 808k $16M (exactly $16,142,725) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive
Total War: ROME REMASTERED older $29.99 12,627 77% 379k $11M (exactly $11,360,512) Creative Assembly, Feral Interactive
Total War: PHARAOH older $29.99 3,622 63% 109k $3.3M (exactly $3,258,713) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY
Field of Glory: Empires older $39.99 734 81% 22k $881k (exactly $880,580) Ageod
Hegemony III: Clash of the Ancients older $29.99 507 82% 15k $456k (exactly $456,148) Longbow Games
Pax Augusta $24.99 564 69% 17k $423k (exactly $422,831) Roger Gassmann
Aggressors: Ancient Rome older $29.99 222 79% 6.7k $200k (exactly $199,733) Kubat Software
Age of Gladiators older $7.99 709 77% 21k $170k (exactly $169,947) Creative Storm Entertainment
Fall of an Empire $29.99 80 67% 2.4k $72k (exactly $71,976) JG Games
Orbi Universo II $24.99 85 75% 2.6k $64k (exactly $63,724) Orbi Universo Team
Grow Empire: Rome $3.99 28 64% 840 $3.4k (exactly $3,352) Games Station
Roman General · EA $8.99 11 100% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) Moore Games
Restitutor: Empire Restored · EA $5.99 13 84% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) FishPond
Ludus Manager $4.99 3 33% 90 $449 (exactly $449) WARSONG ENTERTAINMENT

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.