Do I ship it?

GamesGrand StrategyGrand Strategy + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer Grand Strategy?

Grand Strategy + Puzzle Platformer

Only 9 developers shipped a Puzzle Platformer Grand Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Explore Dreams: Dreamcore, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $240 against a market of $1.5k. 7 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 7 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grand Strategy + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $478 → $628 → $5.0k → $416
Outcomes for Grand Strategy + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $564 (exactly $564)
Top 5% $1.9k (exactly $1,948)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 35
Announced 7
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grand Strategy
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Grand Strategy, Puzzle Platformer
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 189 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $560, 1 in 20 over $1.9k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grand Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 22 announced
  2. + SportsFair21 devs · median $2.1k · 26 announced
  3. + RogueliteFair21 devs · median $2.0k · 23 announced
  4. + CrimeFair8 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + RacingFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 27 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot21 devs · median $750 · 38 announced
  8. + TabletopLong shot26 devs · median $450 · 26 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $131k · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds59 devs · median $51k · 125 announced
  11. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $37k · 29 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds54 devs · median $34k · 117 announced

All 104 pairs on the Grand Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Suns of Wiraqocha older $4.99 64 98% 1.9k $9.6k (exactly $9,581) Alejandro Medina, Rafael Gonzalez-Otoya… (Alejandro Medina, Rafael Gonzalez-Otoya B., Adrian Blume)
Road Builder older $9.99 22 77% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) MS GAMES
The Mythical City 3 older $19.99 10 100% 300 $6.0k (exactly $5,997) Gamesforgames
Tiny Connections older $7.99 21 90% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Short Circuit Studios
Maiz older $3.99 18 72% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) Critix Studios
Explore Dreams: Dreamcore $12.99 5 80% 150 $1.9k (exactly $1,948) Maxwell Play
Supfly Delivery Simulator older $3.99 16 87% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) Koro.Games, Blacer Studio
Strategist older $2.99 7 57% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Boogygames Studios
Dont Jump: Gamesforfarm $0.99 21 85% 630 $624 (exactly $624) Gamesforfarm
Electrify older $4.00 5 0% 150 $600 (exactly $600) Electrify
Knowledge Domination $0.99 19 78% 570 $564 (exactly $564) Frosy Games
Pharaoh's Leap $0.99 14 85% 420 $416 (exactly $416) Gamesforgames
Reality Rifts $3.99 2 50% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Infinity Requiem Studio
Liar's Game $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 林某人游戏工作室
The Hard Way $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) RSX
The Secret of Island of Fear $10.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Hamza sonay, Yusuf sonay, Mustafa baş
groky $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) XSGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.