Games › Grand Strategy › Grand Strategy + Naval Combat
Should I ship a Naval Combat Grand Strategy?
Grand Strategy + Naval Combat
Only 8 developers shipped a Naval Combat Grand Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Task Force Admiral - Vol.1: American Carrier Battles, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×2.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $750k, ×507 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $450 (exactly $450) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.6k (exactly $3,599) |
| Top 25% | $110k (exactly $110,372) |
| Top 5% | $759k (exactly $759,410) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 36 |
| Announced | 21 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $19.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Grand Strategy
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Naval Combat
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Grand Strategy, Naval Combat
- Price point
- $19.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 19,487 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Grand Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelikeFair
- + SportsFair
- + RogueliteFair
- + CrimeFair
- + RacingFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot
- + TabletopLong shot
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
Comparable games
Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts 2023 · $7.0M 
Airships: Conquer the Skies 2018 · $4.6M 
Sailing Era 2023 · $3.4M 
Task Force Admiral - Vol.1: American Carrier Battles 2026 · EA · $759k 
Victory At Sea Pacific 2018 · $702k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts | older | $34.99 | 6,664 62% | 200k | $7.0M (exactly $6,995,201) | Game-Labs |
| | Airships: Conquer the Skies | older | $24.99 | 6,197 95% | 186k | $4.6M (exactly $4,645,891) | David Stark |
| | Sailing Era | older | $24.99 | 4,565 78% | 137k | $3.4M (exactly $3,422,380) | GY Games |
| | Task Force Admiral - Vol.1: American Carrier Battles | · EA | $39.99 | 633 87% | 19k | $759k (exactly $759,410) | Drydock Dreams Games |
| | Victory At Sea Pacific | older | $39.99 | 585 61% | 18k | $702k (exactly $701,824) | Evil Twin Artworks |
 | Battle Fleet 2 | older | $14.99 | 322 74% | 9.7k | $145k (exactly $144,803) | Mythical City Games |
 | Victory at Sea Atlantic - World War II Naval Warfare | $39.99 | 92 60% | 2.8k | $110k (exactly $110,372) | Evil Twin Artworks | |
 | East India Company | older | $9.99 | 190 52% | 5.7k | $57k (exactly $56,943) | Nitro Games |
 | Ancient Wars: Medieval Crusades | · EA older | $19.99 | 90 82% | 2.7k | $54k (exactly $53,973) | JOTASOFT STUDIOS |
 | Commander: Conquest of the Americas | older | $9.99 | 149 51% | 4.5k | $45k (exactly $44,655) | Nitro Games |
 | City States: Medieval | $19.99 | 48 68% | 1.4k | $29k (exactly $28,786) | Reverie World Studios | |
 | Maximilian Spee | · EA | $39.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $3.6k (exactly $3,599) | EUGENE LOPATIN |
 | Battleships and Carriers 2: 1940-1945 | $15.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | SLS | |
 | Goblin Lands | $14.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | Hot Waffle Games | |
 | The graveyard duty fall of the last demon | · EA | $14.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Faustina Mutamba |
 | Mother Of All Battles | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Sean O'Connor |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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