Do I ship it?

GamesGrand StrategyGrand Strategy + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Grand Strategy?

Grand Strategy + Multiple Endings

Of 22 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Grand Strategy in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $560, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 44 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper, while revenue is up 70% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 70% on the market, 44 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grand Strategy + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $32k → $4.2k → $564 → $449 → $449 (still earning) → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Grand Strategy + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $564 (exactly $564)
Top 25% $9.9k (exactly $9,890)
Top 5% $167k (exactly $167,311)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 63
Announced 44
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grand Strategy
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Grand Strategy, Multiple Endings; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Economy, Management
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,986 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $560, 1 in 4 over $9.8k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grand Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 22 announced
  2. + SportsFair21 devs · median $2.1k · 26 announced
  3. + RogueliteFair21 devs · median $2.0k · 23 announced
  4. + CrimeFair8 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + RacingFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 27 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot21 devs · median $750 · 38 announced
  8. + TabletopLong shot26 devs · median $450 · 26 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $131k · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds59 devs · median $51k · 125 announced
  11. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $37k · 29 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds54 devs · median $34k · 117 announced

All 104 pairs on the Grand Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
War Hospital older $29.99 1,006 60% 30k $905k (exactly $905,098) Brave Lamb Studio S.A.
War Room older $29.99 661 51% 20k $595k (exactly $594,702) Binge Gaming OU, Wastelands Interactive
HackHub - Ultimate Hacker Simulator $16.99 937 88% 28k $478k (exactly $477,589) HotBunny
Three Kingdoms The Last Warlord older $3.99 3,611 68% 108k $432k (exactly $432,237) LongYou Game Studio
Crisis in the Kremlin older $4.99 1,372 83% 41k $205k (exactly $205,388) Nostalgames
China: Mao's legacy older $6.99 978 90% 29k $205k (exactly $205,087) Nostalgames
Chaos Galaxy 2 older $19.99 304 82% 9.1k $182k (exactly $182,309) Han Zhiyu
Crisis in the Kremlin: The Cold War $7.99 698 80% 21k $167k (exactly $167,311) Nostalgames
Ostalgie: The Berlin Wall older $5.99 666 92% 20k $120k (exactly $119,680) Nostalgames
Palais de Reine older $29.99 123 86% 3.7k $111k (exactly $110,663) KOGADO STUDIO
For the Fatherland: Chronicle of Park Chung-hee $14.99 176 88% 5.3k $79k (exactly $79,147) KMS STUDIO
Broken Alliance · EA $14.99 42 80% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Placeholder Gameworks
National Transit · EA $7.99 47 97% 1.4k $11k (exactly $11,266) NationQ Studio
Statecraft: Corrupted Democracy $9.99 33 90% 990 $9.9k (exactly $9,890) Engincan Çiçek, Bad Engine Studio
Dynasty Game 2 $7.99 29 65% 870 $7.0k (exactly $6,951) Yocone
Aldriak, the advent of a new world $19.99 7 100% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) Return to Play
Doctrine: C.U.L.T. $4.99 13 69% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Miracles on a Stick
Crisis Cabinet · EA $13.99 4 75% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) Function Labs Limited

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.