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Should I ship a Multiple Endings Grand Strategy?
Grand Strategy + Multiple Endings
Of 22 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Grand Strategy in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $560, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 44 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper, while revenue is up 70% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $180 (exactly $180) |
|---|---|
| Median | $564 (exactly $564) |
| Top 25% | $9.9k (exactly $9,890) |
| Top 5% | $167k (exactly $167,311) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 22 |
| Released games | 63 |
| Announced | 44 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Grand Strategy
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Grand Strategy, Multiple Endings; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Economy, Management
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,986 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Grand Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelikeFair
- + SportsFair
- + RogueliteFair
- + CrimeFair
- + RacingFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot
- + TabletopLong shot
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | War Hospital | older | $29.99 | 1,006 60% | 30k | $905k (exactly $905,098) | Brave Lamb Studio S.A. |
| | War Room | older | $29.99 | 661 51% | 20k | $595k (exactly $594,702) | Binge Gaming OU, Wastelands Interactive |
| | HackHub - Ultimate Hacker Simulator | $16.99 | 937 88% | 28k | $478k (exactly $477,589) | HotBunny | |
| | Three Kingdoms The Last Warlord | older | $3.99 | 3,611 68% | 108k | $432k (exactly $432,237) | LongYou Game Studio |
| | Crisis in the Kremlin | older | $4.99 | 1,372 83% | 41k | $205k (exactly $205,388) | Nostalgames |
| | China: Mao's legacy | older | $6.99 | 978 90% | 29k | $205k (exactly $205,087) | Nostalgames |
| | Chaos Galaxy 2 | older | $19.99 | 304 82% | 9.1k | $182k (exactly $182,309) | Han Zhiyu |
| | Crisis in the Kremlin: The Cold War | $7.99 | 698 80% | 21k | $167k (exactly $167,311) | Nostalgames | |
| | Ostalgie: The Berlin Wall | older | $5.99 | 666 92% | 20k | $120k (exactly $119,680) | Nostalgames |
| | Palais de Reine | older | $29.99 | 123 86% | 3.7k | $111k (exactly $110,663) | KOGADO STUDIO |
| | For the Fatherland: Chronicle of Park Chung-hee | $14.99 | 176 88% | 5.3k | $79k (exactly $79,147) | KMS STUDIO | |
| | Broken Alliance | · EA | $14.99 | 42 80% | 1.3k | $19k (exactly $18,887) | Placeholder Gameworks |
| | National Transit | · EA | $7.99 | 47 97% | 1.4k | $11k (exactly $11,266) | NationQ Studio |
| | Statecraft: Corrupted Democracy | $9.99 | 33 90% | 990 | $9.9k (exactly $9,890) | Engincan Çiçek, Bad Engine Studio | |
| | Dynasty Game 2 | $7.99 | 29 65% | 870 | $7.0k (exactly $6,951) | Yocone | |
| | Aldriak, the advent of a new world | $19.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $4.2k (exactly $4,198) | Return to Play | |
| | Doctrine: C.U.L.T. | $4.99 | 13 69% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Miracles on a Stick | |
| | Crisis Cabinet | · EA | $13.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.7k (exactly $1,679) | Function Labs Limited |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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