Do I ship it?

Games › Grand Strategy › Grand Strategy + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Grand Strategy?

Grand Strategy + Logic

Of 30 developers who shipped a Logic Grand Strategy in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 18 developers shipped in the last year and 44 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 44 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grand Strategy + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $4.5k → $300 → $299 → $1.1k → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Grand Strategy + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $10,791)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 93
Announced 44
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grand Strategy
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Grand Strategy, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Simulation, Sports
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 235 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grand Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 22 announced
  2. + SportsFair21 devs · median $2.1k · 26 announced
  3. + RogueliteFair21 devs · median $2.0k · 23 announced
  4. + CrimeFair8 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + RacingFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 27 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot21 devs · median $750 · 38 announced
  8. + TabletopLong shot26 devs · median $450 · 26 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $131k · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds59 devs · median $51k · 125 announced
  11. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $37k · 29 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds54 devs · median $34k · 117 announced

All 104 pairs on the Grand Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

City Bus Manager 2024 · $2.2M Europa Universalis III Complete 2009 · $617k ATC Ground Point 2024 · $37k Magic Trap 2024 · $34k The Shadow Government Simulator 2022 · $30k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
City Bus Manager older $29.99 2,405 90% 72k $2.2M (exactly $2,163,778) PeDePe GbR
Europa Universalis III Complete older $14.99 1,372 85% 41k $617k (exactly $616,988) Paradox Development Studio
ATC Ground Point $15.99 77 81% 2.3k $37k (exactly $36,937) Blueon
Magic Trap older $49.99 23 86% 690 $34k (exactly $34,493) Gamesforgames
The Shadow Government Simulator older $9.99 100 75% 3.0k $30k (exactly $29,970) Chupacabra Game Studios
Hardware Tycoon $11.99 30 63% 900 $11k (exactly $10,791) NordCode
Anime And Your Life older $1.99 92 65% 2.8k $5.5k (exactly $5,492) BadWolf Games
Magatch $9.99 17 94% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Gamesforgames
The Armed Shadow $9.99 17 94% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Gamesforgames
Restart Mode $9.99 16 81% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Gamesforgames
Inflafrog: Collector's Edition $4.99 28 100% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) Nice Cream
Difficult times 2 $9.99 13 100% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
Happy Piggy $9.99 13 100% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
Matchmania Donate $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Gamesforgames
Emoji Wars $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Total

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.