Do I ship it?

GamesGrand StrategyGrand Strategy + Level Editor

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Level Editor Grand Strategy?

Grand Strategy + Level Editor

Only 12 developers shipped a Level Editor Grand Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War - Definitive Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×6.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $120k against a market of $1.5k. 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 82.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 19 announced, ×6.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grand Strategy + Level Editor
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Grand Strategy + Level Editor: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $6.1k (exactly $6,138)
Median $124k (exactly $123,737)
Top 25% $513k (exactly $512,743)
Top 5% $11M (exactly $11,053,714)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 27
Announced 19
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grand Strategy
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Level Editor
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Grand Strategy, Level Editor
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 32,411 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $6.2k, median $120k, 1 in 4 over $510k, 1 in 20 over $11M.

3 in 10 developers made under $6.2k. 5 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grand Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 22 announced
  2. + SportsFair21 devs · median $2.1k · 26 announced
  3. + RogueliteFair21 devs · median $2.0k · 23 announced
  4. + CrimeFair8 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + RacingFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 27 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot21 devs · median $750 · 38 announced
  8. + TabletopLong shot26 devs · median $450 · 26 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $131k · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds59 devs · median $51k · 125 announced
  11. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $37k · 29 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds54 devs · median $34k · 117 announced

All 104 pairs on the Grand Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War - Definitive Edition $29.99 12,286 85% 369k $11M (exactly $11,053,714) Relic Entertainment
Age of History 3 $9.99 18,102 85% 543k $5.4M (exactly $5,425,169) Łukasz Jakowski
Creeper World 4 older $24.99 4,553 94% 137k $3.4M (exactly $3,413,384) Knuckle Cracker
Command & Conquer™ 3: Kane’s Wrath older $6.96 5,499 93% 165k $1.1M (exactly $1,148,191) EA Los Angeles
Fantasy Map Simulator · EA older $7.99 4,190 89% 126k $1.0M (exactly $1,004,343) The Stranger
Creeper World IXE $19.99 855 69% 26k $513k (exactly $512,743) Knuckle Cracker
Buggos older $9.99 1,204 88% 36k $361k (exactly $360,839) Intrepid Marmot
Warnament $12.99 479 84% 14k $187k (exactly $186,666) Luden.io
Armored Brigade II $39.99 147 87% 4.4k $176k (exactly $176,356) Veitikka Studios
Kingdom, Dungeon, and Hero older $29.99 168 76% 5.0k $151k (exactly $151,150) Kraken Studios
States of Power $11.99 344 88% 10k $124k (exactly $123,737) Sarunas
Tactical Annihilation $15.99 56 98% 1.7k $27k (exactly $26,863) B.G. Game Studio
Observe · EA $7.99 74 91% 2.2k $18k (exactly $17,738) Kisotik Games
Antiyoy $4.99 41 85% 1.2k $6.1k (exactly $6,138) yiotro
Cargo Shop Simulator $3.99 27 70% 810 $3.2k (exactly $3,232) Enginar Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.