Do I ship it?

GamesGrand StrategyGrand Strategy + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object Grand Strategy?

Grand Strategy + Hidden Object

Only 6 developers shipped a Hidden Object Grand Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Loot of Idle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $180 against a market of $1.5k. 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 13 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grand Strategy + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Grand Strategy + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $239 (exactly $239)
Top 5% $2.0k (exactly $1,970)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 30
Announced 13
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grand Strategy
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Grand Strategy, Hidden Object
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 57% positive over 439 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $230, 1 in 20 over $1.9k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 13 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grand Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 22 announced
  2. + SportsFair21 devs · median $2.1k · 26 announced
  3. + RogueliteFair21 devs · median $2.0k · 23 announced
  4. + CrimeFair8 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + RacingFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 27 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot21 devs · median $750 · 38 announced
  8. + TabletopLong shot26 devs · median $450 · 26 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $131k · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds59 devs · median $51k · 125 announced
  11. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $37k · 29 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds54 devs · median $34k · 117 announced

All 104 pairs on the Grand Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Kingdom of Wreck Business older $9.99 127 31% 3.8k $38k (exactly $38,062) WarZoneLab
Waiting For The Raven older $14.99 61 77% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) Musclebird
Lost Angel older $19.99 43 58% 1.3k $26k (exactly $25,787) Dolphin media, Intofeel Company
Freight Simulator older $5.99 48 52% 1.4k $8.6k (exactly $8,626) New Games Waves, Softwaves
Gold Rush! Classic older $2.99 77 87% 2.3k $6.9k (exactly $6,907) The Software Farm, Sunlight Games, Sier… (The Software Farm, Sunlight Games, Sierra Entertainment)
Ma3 older $9.99 13 69% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Matheesan, Ahila
Mystery Box 4: The Journey older $6.99 12 75% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) XSGames
Loot of Idle $1.99 33 48% 990 $2.0k (exactly $1,970) DarkRook Interactive
Don't blame you older $2.99 18 44% 540 $1.6k (exactly $1,615) HKGamesStudio
Odd Machines: Mechanical Boxes $5.99 7 57% 210 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) XSGames
The Da Vinci Cryptex 5 $3.99 2 50% 60 $239 (exactly $239) XSGames
Super Silent Sensei $2.99 2 0% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Elmeryn Studios
WayPoint $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) GGA-S
The Da Vinci Cryptex 4 $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) XSGames
Hotel Security $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Gyoddam Games
The Secret of Island of Fear $10.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Hamza sonay, Yusuf sonay, Mustafa baş

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.