Do I ship it?

GamesGrand StrategyGrand Strategy + Grid-Based Movement

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Grid-Based Movement Grand Strategy?

Grand Strategy + Grid-Based Movement

Only 8 developers shipped a Grid-Based Movement Grand Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tactical Annihilation, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.1k, ×4.1 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $330; 1 in 20 cleared $26k, ×18 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 15 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grand Strategy + Grid-Based Movement
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Grand Strategy + Grid-Based Movement: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $327 (exactly $327)
Median $6.1k (exactly $6,138)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $23,740)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,863)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 25
Announced 15
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $10.89

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 32%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grand Strategy
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Grand Strategy, Grid-Based Movement
Price point
$10.89 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 366 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $330, median $6.1k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $330. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grand Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 22 announced
  2. + SportsFair21 devs · median $2.1k · 26 announced
  3. + RogueliteFair21 devs · median $2.0k · 23 announced
  4. + CrimeFair8 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + RacingFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 27 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot21 devs · median $750 · 38 announced
  8. + TabletopLong shot26 devs · median $450 · 26 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $131k · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds59 devs · median $51k · 125 announced
  11. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $37k · 29 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds54 devs · median $34k · 117 announced

All 104 pairs on the Grand Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tactical Annihilation $15.99 56 98% 1.7k $27k (exactly $26,863) B.G. Game Studio
Astro Protocol $11.99 66 93% 2.0k $24k (exactly $23,740) Null Vector Studios
Star Traders: 4X Empires older $9.99 61 60% 1.8k $18k (exactly $18,282) Trese Brothers
The Ancients · EA older $19.99 20 55% 600 $12k (exactly $11,994) GorillaSoftWorks
Ambition of the Slimes older $4.99 60 86% 1.8k $9.0k (exactly $8,982) altairworks
Heroic Aegisio: Origins $7.99 27 77% 810 $6.5k (exactly $6,472) Vview Games
Antiyoy $4.99 41 85% 1.2k $6.1k (exactly $6,138) yiotro
Rails Across America older $9.99 18 72% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Flying Lab Software, ZOOM Platform Medi… (Flying Lab Software, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group)
Roman General · EA $8.99 11 100% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) Moore Games
Kuro Tactics older $2.99 6 33% 180 $538 (exactly $538) KurowareLLC
Ashen Destiny · EA $10.89 1 100% 30 $327 (exactly $327) Arrow & Blade Games
Sidyq · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Yozamu
Altus Chess-Archaic Beginnings $24.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Arcane Architecture Limited

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.