Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + Gothic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gothic Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Gothic

Only 17 developers shipped a Gothic Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Necrophosis, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×729 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 29 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Gothic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $3.1k → $1.9k → $1.2k → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Gothic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,194)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $346k (exactly $346,343)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 47
Announced 29
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Gothic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Action, Adventure
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 986 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lorelai older $8.99 1,447 90% 43k $390k (exactly $390,256) Harvester Games
Necrophosis $15.99 722 89% 22k $346k (exactly $346,343) Dragonis Ares, Adonis Brosteanu
The Path older $9.99 881 81% 26k $264k (exactly $264,036) Tale of Tales
The Crimson Maid $14.99 104 87% 3.1k $47k (exactly $46,769) GrimTalin, Darkania Works
Frank and Drake older $12.99 46 80% 1.4k $18k (exactly $17,926) Appnormals Team
The Silent Swan older $6.99 59 64% 1.8k $12k (exactly $12,372) Praenaris
The Lost Souls older $0.99 203 41% 6.1k $6.0k (exactly $6,029) GDNomaD
Tower of Madness $4.99 38 89% 1.1k $5.7k (exactly $5,689) J6 Games
CONTORTED older $5.99 20 75% 600 $3.6k (exactly $3,594) Lenni Elias Kauppi
Maidesktop older $4.99 23 69% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) zoocros
Eternal Lust: Realm of the Undead $19.99 5 80% 150 $3.0k (exactly $2,998) Games For Pleasure
Money Theft $4.99 13 76% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Valkeala Software, Tero Lunkka
The Lost Painter $2.99 19 100% 570 $1.7k (exactly $1,704) Ravenhome Studios
Assassin Of Goblin $3.99 12 66% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Saylor Games
Testimonium $0.99 41 92% 1.2k $1.2k (exactly $1,218) Andrii Sotnyk
Trump Horror $1.99 20 65% 600 $1.2k (exactly $1,194) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Penance $2.99 12 100% 360 $1.1k (exactly $1,076) Scriptorium Artis

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.