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Should I ship a Gothic Walking Simulator?
Walking Simulator + Gothic
Only 17 developers shipped a Gothic Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Necrophosis, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×729 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 29 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,194) |
| Top 25% | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) |
| Top 5% | $346k (exactly $346,343) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 47 |
| Announced | 29 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $2.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Gothic
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Walking Simulator; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Action, Adventure
- Price point
- $2.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 986 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WarFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + MusicFair
- + SupernaturalFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + NoirFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Lorelai | older | $8.99 | 1,447 90% | 43k | $390k (exactly $390,256) | Harvester Games |
| | Necrophosis | $15.99 | 722 89% | 22k | $346k (exactly $346,343) | Dragonis Ares, Adonis Brosteanu | |
| | The Path | older | $9.99 | 881 81% | 26k | $264k (exactly $264,036) | Tale of Tales |
| | The Crimson Maid | $14.99 | 104 87% | 3.1k | $47k (exactly $46,769) | GrimTalin, Darkania Works | |
| | Frank and Drake | older | $12.99 | 46 80% | 1.4k | $18k (exactly $17,926) | Appnormals Team |
| | The Silent Swan | older | $6.99 | 59 64% | 1.8k | $12k (exactly $12,372) | Praenaris |
| | The Lost Souls | older | $0.99 | 203 41% | 6.1k | $6.0k (exactly $6,029) | GDNomaD |
| | Tower of Madness | $4.99 | 38 89% | 1.1k | $5.7k (exactly $5,689) | J6 Games | |
| | CONTORTED | older | $5.99 | 20 75% | 600 | $3.6k (exactly $3,594) | Lenni Elias Kauppi |
| | Maidesktop | older | $4.99 | 23 69% | 690 | $3.4k (exactly $3,443) | zoocros |
| | Eternal Lust: Realm of the Undead | $19.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $3.0k (exactly $2,998) | Games For Pleasure | |
| | Money Theft | $4.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Valkeala Software, Tero Lunkka | |
| | The Lost Painter | $2.99 | 19 100% | 570 | $1.7k (exactly $1,704) | Ravenhome Studios | |
| | Assassin Of Goblin | $3.99 | 12 66% | 360 | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) | Saylor Games | |
| | Testimonium | $0.99 | 41 92% | 1.2k | $1.2k (exactly $1,218) | Andrii Sotnyk | |
| | Trump Horror | $1.99 | 20 65% | 600 | $1.2k (exactly $1,194) | Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software | |
| | Penance | $2.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $1.1k (exactly $1,076) | Scriptorium Artis |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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