Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Futuristic

Of 68 developers who shipped a Futuristic Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 85 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $46k, ×98 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 85 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 85 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 68
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $26k → $720k → $718 → $1.2k → $1.6k → $1.2k → $899 (still earning) → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 68
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $5.9k (exactly $5,933)
Top 5% $47k (exactly $46,528)
Developers, 2 yr 68
Released games 177
Announced 85
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.37 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.37 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 66% positive over 7,771 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $46k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 43 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 85 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bomb Rush Cyberfunk older $39.99 12,645 98% 379k $15M (exactly $15,170,206) Team Reptile
The Invincible older $29.99 10,055 87% 302k $9.0M (exactly $9,046,484) Starward Industries
Echoes of Aincrad $69.99 4,108 47% 123k $8.6M (exactly $8,625,568) Game Studio Inc.
Cloudpunk older $19.99 13,788 87% 414k $8.3M (exactly $8,268,664) ION LANDS
>observer_ older $29.99 4,030 79% 121k $3.6M (exactly $3,625,791) Bloober Team SA
1000xRESIST older $19.99 5,310 96% 159k $3.2M (exactly $3,184,407) sunset visitor 斜陽過客
Tacoma older $19.99 3,099 87% 93k $1.9M (exactly $1,858,470) Fullbright
Fort Solis older $24.99 2,300 69% 69k $1.7M (exactly $1,724,310) Fallen Leaf, Black Drakkar Games
Hail to the Rainbow $14.99 2,533 90% 76k $1.1M (exactly $1,139,090) Носков Сергей
Scene Investigators older $24.99 961 74% 29k $720k (exactly $720,462) EQ Studios
Newton's Fourth Law · EA $11.99 224 93% 6.7k $81k (exactly $80,573) Newtonian Studios
Chaos Express: Delivery Simulator · EA $13.37 116 77% 3.5k $47k (exactly $46,528) AVE Team
Fragrance Point $8.00 113 96% 3.4k $27k (exactly $27,120) Halber Ball
Lily’s Labyrinth of Lust $9.99 81 48% 2.4k $24k (exactly $24,276) Erommersion Studios
Liminal Universe $4.80 159 60% 4.8k $23k (exactly $22,896) Gvn Games
Colony 37 · EA $2.99 224 95% 6.7k $20k (exactly $20,093) Valen
Take Notes $6.99 93 96% 2.8k $20k (exactly $19,502) Stoneware Game Studio
hate.net $4.99 120 95% 3.6k $18k (exactly $17,964) bonitāka

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.