Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Futuristic

Of 81 developers who shipped a Futuristic Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 98 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, level with the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $20k, ×44 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 98 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 98 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 81
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $537 → $269 → $1.2k → $1.7k → $1.0k → $449 → $539 (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 81
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 5% $21k (exactly $20,686)
Developers, 2 yr 81
Released games 240
Announced 98
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Precision Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, 2D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 5,557 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $480, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 42 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 98 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MIO: Memories in Orbit $19.99 4,300 83% 129k $2.6M (exactly $2,578,710) Douze Dixièmes
HUNTDOWN older $19.99 4,059 94% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,434,182) Easy Trigger Games
Lunistice older $4.99 1,812 95% 54k $271k (exactly $271,256) A Grumpy Fox
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
Bots Are Stupid older $12.99 161 77% 4.8k $63k (exactly $62,742) Leander Edler-Golla
Dofamine VR $9.99 173 82% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,848) VR-WRG
Aztech Forgotten Gods older $29.99 50 66% 1.5k $45k (exactly $44,985) Lienzo
Protodroid DeLTA older $19.99 74 72% 2.2k $44k (exactly $44,378) Adam Kareem
FutureGrind older $19.99 59 91% 1.8k $35k (exactly $35,382) Milkbag Games
ION Shift $5.99 140 90% 4.2k $25k (exactly $25,158) Electro Soul Games
DeadCore Redux $14.99 46 93% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) 5 Bits Games
Jumpbound $12.99 50 94% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,485) Another Round Entertainment
Nullstar: Solus $9.99 59 98% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Smash Attack Aus
Oirbo $14.99 30 66% 900 $13k (exactly $13,491) ImaginationOverflow
NBB.EXE $19.99 18 100% 540 $11k (exactly $10,795) Raptus Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.