Do I ship it?

GamesHidden ObjectHidden Object + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Hidden Object?

Hidden Object + Futuristic

Of 62 developers who shipped a Futuristic Hidden Object in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 25 developers shipped in the last year and 65 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 65 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hidden Object + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 62
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $238 → $1.3k → $1.0k → $419 → $719 → $90 → $536 (still earning) → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hidden Object + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 62
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,776)
Top 5% $118k (exactly $117,741)
Developers, 2 yr 62
Released games 175
Announced 65
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Hidden Object; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.00 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.00 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 2,823 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 43 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hidden Object with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  2. + Level EditorFair12 devs · median $7.6k · 14 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair46 devs · median $3.5k · 41 announced
  4. + CatsFair128 devs · median $1.5k · 160 announced
  5. + DogsFair35 devs · median $1.5k · 18 announced
  6. + RomanceFair60 devs · median $1.5k · 48 announced
  7. + FlightFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  8. + City BuilderFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationFair475 devs · median $1.2k · 555 announced
  10. + UnderwaterFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Word GameFair29 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair470 devs · median $1.2k · 502 announced

All 188 pairs on the Hidden Object page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Approximately Up $24.99 995 93% 30k $746k (exactly $745,952) Approximately Games
The Uncertain: Last Quiet Day older $9.99 1,680 76% 50k $503k (exactly $503,496) ComonGames
FORM older $14.99 957 90% 29k $430k (exactly $430,363) Charm Games
Machinika: Museum older $7.99 1,184 91% 36k $284k (exactly $283,805) Littlefield Studio
LIFE EFFECT Survival · EA $14.99 488 85% 15k $219k (exactly $219,454) LIFE EFFECT
Machinika: Atlas $11.99 574 76% 17k $206k (exactly $206,468) Littlefield Studio
Rumu older $9.99 530 89% 16k $159k (exactly $158,841) Robot House
マーダーミステリーパラドクス このひと夏の十五年 older $19.99 249 85% 7.5k $149k (exactly $149,325) 213℉
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
The Abandoned Planet older $14.99 197 93% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) Dexter Team Games
Dofamine VR $9.99 173 82% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,848) VR-WRG
no signal $15.00 69 98% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,050) exodrifter
Take Notes $6.99 93 96% 2.8k $20k (exactly $19,502) Stoneware Game Studio
Niktophobia $7.99 63 66% 1.9k $15k (exactly $15,101) OldYacht
Au Revoir $4.99 92 95% 2.8k $14k (exactly $13,772) Invisible Studio
Mimicry! $9.99 45 97% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) Wayward Skies Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.