Do I ship it?

GamesWord GameWord Game + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Word Game?

Word Game + Female Protagonist

Of 92 developers who shipped a Female-Led Word Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 137 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×7.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $280k, ×594 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 137 games are announced against 60 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 137 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Word Game + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 92
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $7.6k → $6.0k → $9.4k → $3.6k → $6.9k → $1.5k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Word Game + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 92
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $25,697)
Top 5% $282k (exactly $282,143)
Developers, 2 yr 92
Released games 294
Announced 137
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Word Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Interactive Fiction, RPG
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 29,417 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $25k, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 63 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 137 games are announced against 60 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Word Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SurvivalFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  2. + TacticalFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  3. + Point & ClickFair60 devs · median $1.6k · 56 announced
  4. + LootFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 8 announced
  5. + AutomationFair12 devs · median $1.6k · 11 announced
  6. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  7. + DetectiveFair82 devs · median $1.3k · 90 announced
  8. + Procedural GenerationFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair18 devs · median $1.2k · 16 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair29 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  11. + IncrementalFair91 devs · median $1.2k · 77 announced
  12. + NatureFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 8 announced

All 98 pairs on the Word Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
月に寄りそう乙女の作法 older $39.99 3,462 97% 104k $4.2M (exactly $4,153,361) Navel
Homicipher $13.99 7,821 96% 235k $3.3M (exactly $3,282,474) 八名木Games
Far Away older $12.99 7,598 94% 228k $3.0M (exactly $2,960,941) Gratesca
Sweet Home $7.99 9,910 94% 297k $2.4M (exactly $2,375,427) 开心茶房
WILL: A Wonderful World / WILL:美好世界 older $14.99 4,588 92% 138k $2.1M (exactly $2,063,224) WMY Studio
月华辉映之刻 $11.99 4,227 89% 127k $1.5M (exactly $1,520,452) 侠客狗工作室
灾厄黑龙与谎言公主 $9.99 3,682 90% 110k $1.1M (exactly $1,103,495) 莓夜工作室
The Chrono Jotter older $11.99 1,968 94% 59k $708k (exactly $707,890) Orca Layout
Yoshiwara Higanbana older $44.99 425 90% 13k $574k (exactly $573,622) MariaCrown
Psychedelica of the Ashen Hawk older $29.99 600 84% 18k $540k (exactly $539,820) IDEA FACTORY
Mr Right Simulator $12.99 724 94% 22k $282k (exactly $282,143) 男神模拟器工作室
Stiff Neck $6.99 955 81% 29k $200k (exactly $200,264) 伤官制作组 Team Uranian
Anomalous Coffee Machine 2 $6.99 753 81% 23k $158k (exactly $157,904) HoruBrain Interactive
Only You $6.99 719 94% 22k $151k (exactly $150,774) 忘雪社
Malleus Cocconum: The Heiress · EA $21.99 141 94% 4.2k $93k (exactly $93,018) Domus Aurea
Under the River $5.99 485 95% 15k $87k (exactly $87,154) 夜火游戏(Night Fire Game)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.