Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Female Protagonist

Of 89 developers who shipped a Female-Led Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 117 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×385 the market median. Revenue is up 135% on the market; 117 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 135% on the market, 117 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 89
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.7k → $2.1k → $2.4k → $2.5k → $1.3k → $449 → $3.4k (still earning) → $3.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 89
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Top 25% $6.6k (exactly $6,593)
Top 5% $183k (exactly $183,028)
Developers, 2 yr 89
Released games 270
Announced 117
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 135% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Precision Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 7,268 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $6.5k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 57 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 117 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Celeste older $19.99 132,072 97% 4.0M $79M (exactly $79,203,578) Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Ga… (Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Games, Ltd.)
Hot Lava older $19.99 5,335 92% 160k $3.2M (exactly $3,199,399) Klei Entertainment
Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered $29.99 1,507 89% 45k $1.4M (exactly $1,355,848) Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics
Monument Valley 3 $14.99 2,155 93% 65k $969k (exactly $969,104) ustwo games
Penny’s Big Breakaway older $29.99 1,062 79% 32k $955k (exactly $955,481) Evening Star
Rusted Moss older $19.99 1,575 88% 47k $945k (exactly $944,527) Emlise, happysquared, sunnydaze
Monument Valley 2 older $7.99 3,526 93% 106k $845k (exactly $845,182) ustwo games
La-Mulana 2 older $24.99 818 83% 25k $613k (exactly $613,255) NIGORO
They Bleed Pixels older $9.99 2,040 84% 61k $611k (exactly $611,388) Spooky Squid Games Inc.
Kaze and the Wild Masks older $9.99 1,922 93% 58k $576k (exactly $576,023) PixelHive
LEGO® Horizon Adventures™ $39.99 403 60% 12k $483k (exactly $483,479) Guerrilla Games, Studio Gobo
CICADAMATA" $9.99 1,419 96% 43k $425k (exactly $425,274) ✿ flowergarden
Bat to the Heavens $14.99 407 95% 12k $183k (exactly $183,028) ceroro
TetherGeist $16.99 299 97% 9.0k $152k (exactly $152,400) O. and Co. Games, Out of Space Games
LOVE ETERNAL $9.99 453 96% 14k $136k (exactly $135,764) brlka
Head's Adventures:chibichibi $7.99 334 97% 10k $80k (exactly $80,060) ManaWanderer
Decline's Drops $14.99 170 96% 5.1k $76k (exactly $76,449) Le Moulin aux Bulles
Outrider Mako $17.99 121 65% 3.6k $65k (exactly $65,304) Asamado Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.