Do I ship it?

GamesWord GameWord Game + Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fantasy Word Game?

Word Game + Fantasy

Of 77 developers who shipped a Fantasy Word Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 108 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×236 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 108 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 108 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Word Game + Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 77
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $1.6k → $959 → $772 → $1.7k → $1.8k → $419 (still earning) → $2.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Word Game + Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 77
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $5.1k (exactly $5,076)
Top 5% $112k (exactly $112,125)
Developers, 2 yr 77
Released games 243
Announced 108
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $1.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI
Fantasy
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Word Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Visual Novel
Price point
$1.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $1.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 8,654 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $5.0k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 57 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 108 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Word Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SurvivalFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  2. + TacticalFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  3. + Point & ClickFair60 devs · median $1.6k · 56 announced
  4. + LootFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 8 announced
  5. + AutomationFair12 devs · median $1.6k · 11 announced
  6. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  7. + DetectiveFair82 devs · median $1.3k · 90 announced
  8. + Procedural GenerationFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair18 devs · median $1.2k · 16 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair29 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  11. + IncrementalFair91 devs · median $1.2k · 77 announced
  12. + NatureFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 8 announced

All 98 pairs on the Word Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cryptmaster older $24.99 1,671 94% 50k $1.3M (exactly $1,252,749) Paul Hart, Lee Williams, Akupara Games
灾厄黑龙与谎言公主 $9.99 3,682 90% 110k $1.1M (exactly $1,103,495) 莓夜工作室
7 Days to End with You older $7.99 3,327 87% 100k $797k (exactly $797,482) Lizardry
Psychedelica of the Ashen Hawk older $29.99 600 84% 18k $540k (exactly $539,820) IDEA FACTORY
The Expression Amrilato older $24.99 682 97% 20k $511k (exactly $511,295) SukeraSparo
xiuzhen idle $5.99 2,313 79% 69k $416k (exactly $415,646) 游戏养家工作室
Hana no No ni Saku Utakata no older $29.99 415 93% 12k $373k (exactly $373,376) Applique
Lost Words: Beyond the Page older $14.99 637 94% 19k $286k (exactly $286,459) Sketchbook Developments, Fourth State,… (Sketchbook Developments, Fourth State, Sketchbook Games)
NICE TO MEET YOU, AGAIN $24.99 334 97% 10k $250k (exactly $250,400) Purple Software
Daily life with my succubus boss older $9.99 716 88% 21k $215k (exactly $214,585) 樹懶叫工作室, HEIJUN, Maker製造機
Our Brief Eternity $4.99 749 99% 22k $112k (exactly $112,125) 土豆花制作组
TOUQI $4.99 462 89% 14k $69k (exactly $69,161) 橙光游戏
The Apothecary of Trubiz $3.99 536 94% 16k $64k (exactly $64,159) kinjo, Image Labo
The Vampire's Bride: A bride who gets married to vampdoll $16.99 90 93% 2.7k $46k (exactly $45,873) Waterfall
The Losers Team $3.00 291 82% 8.7k $26k (exactly $26,190) Milton Game
Tomb of the Bloodletter $7.99 100 88% 3.0k $24k (exactly $23,970) Ethan's Secretions
无名者 $7.99 97 95% 2.9k $23k (exactly $23,251) Origincourtyard世界庭院, 三七洛九

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.