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Should I ship a Fantasy Twin Stick Shooter?
Twin Stick Shooter + Fantasy
Of 58 developers who shipped a Fantasy Twin Stick Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 106 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $77k, ×164 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 106 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.4k (exactly $1,373) |
| Top 25% | $7.0k (exactly $7,015) |
| Top 5% | $78k (exactly $77,990) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 58 |
| Released games | 181 |
| Announced | 106 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Twin Stick Shooter
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Fantasy
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Twin Stick Shooter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Bullet Hell, Action Roguelike
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 2,493 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 34 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 106 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Twin Stick Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + Looter ShooterPoor odds
- + Bullet HeavenPoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + MedievalPoor odds
- + LootPoor odds
- + Action RPGPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + 2D FighterPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Bastion | older | $14.99 | 28,223 95% | 847k | $13M (exactly $12,691,883) | Supergiant Games |
| | Darksiders Genesis | older | $29.99 | 10,379 82% | 311k | $9.3M (exactly $9,337,986) | Airship Syndicate |
| | Minishoot' Adventures | older | $14.99 | 7,818 97% | 235k | $3.5M (exactly $3,515,755) | SoulGame Studio |
| | Nine Parchments | older | $19.99 | 4,123 77% | 124k | $2.5M (exactly $2,472,563) | Frozenbyte |
| | 永远消失的幻想乡 ~ The Disappearing of Gensokyo | older | $10.99 | 3,023 83% | 91k | $997k (exactly $996,683) | MyACG Studio |
| | Archvale | older | $14.99 | 2,044 88% | 61k | $919k (exactly $919,187) | idoz & phops |
| | CYGNI: All Guns Blazing | older | $29.99 | 448 60% | 13k | $403k (exactly $403,066) | KeelWorks |
| | Rogue Stormers | older | $19.99 | 649 65% | 19k | $389k (exactly $389,205) | Black Forest Games |
| | Crafty Survivors | $11.99 | 712 83% | 21k | $256k (exactly $256,106) | Flannel Bear Games | |
| | Riverbond | older | $24.99 | 144 82% | 4.3k | $108k (exactly $107,957) | Cococucumber |
| | Endless Forest Dream | $8.99 | 362 77% | 11k | $98k (exactly $97,631) | Seeking-chan | |
| | Pinball Storm: Lokanta | $5.99 | 434 70% | 13k | $78k (exactly $77,990) | Aastral Dynamics | |
| | DAMON and BABY | $19.99 | 87 89% | 2.6k | $52k (exactly $52,174) | Arc System Works | |
| | DUNGEON RAZE | $2.99 | 458 85% | 14k | $41k (exactly $41,083) | KOTARO YOSHIDA | |
| | Yoiyami Biscuit | · EA | $5.99 | 125 95% | 3.8k | $22k (exactly $22,462) | tripper_room, 以絵会友(ikaikaiyuu) |
| | VOIDFACE | $8.99 | 78 96% | 2.3k | $21k (exactly $21,037) | Frog Hat Labs | |
| | Horde Hunters | $6.99 | 99 86% | 3.0k | $21k (exactly $20,760) | Antti Vaihia | |
| | Devil Jam | $7.99 | 84 69% | 2.5k | $20k (exactly $20,135) | Rogueside | |
| | Rose and Locket | $11.99 | 54 92% | 1.6k | $19k (exactly $19,424) | Whistling Wizard |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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