Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fantasy Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Fantasy

Of 177 developers who shipped a Fantasy Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 251 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 81 developers shipped in the last year and 251 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 251 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 177
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $839 → $479 → $1.2k → $719 → $359 → $449 → $448 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 177
Bottom 30% $105 (exactly $105)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,394)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,632)
Developers, 2 yr 177
Released games 539
Announced 251
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Fantasy
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Precision Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Side Scroller
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,333 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $110, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $110. Nearly all of the 116 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 251 games are announced against 81 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Jump King older $12.99 12,342 90% 370k $4.8M (exactly $4,809,677) Nexile
PAC-MAN WORLD Re-PAC older $29.99 1,644 92% 49k $1.5M (exactly $1,479,107) NOW PRODUCTION
Blue Fire older $19.99 1,908 83% 57k $1.1M (exactly $1,144,228) Robi Studios
Monument Valley 2 older $7.99 3,526 93% 106k $845k (exactly $845,182) ustwo games
Tales of Kenzera™: ZAU older $19.99 898 82% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Surgent Studios
Kitsune Tails older $19.99 833 95% 25k $500k (exactly $499,550) Kitsune Games
Super Mombo Quest older $19.99 795 96% 24k $477k (exactly $476,761) Orube Game Studio
Only Climb: Better Together older $4.99 2,939 54% 88k $440k (exactly $439,968) Exbyte Studios
Wings of Vi older $14.99 955 83% 29k $429k (exactly $429,464) Grynsoft
Olija older $14.99 910 89% 27k $409k (exactly $409,227) Skeleton Crew Studio, Thomas Olsson
Symphonia $19.99 325 88% 9.8k $195k (exactly $194,902) Sunny Peak
TetherGeist $16.99 299 97% 9.0k $152k (exactly $152,400) O. and Co. Games, Out of Space Games
Outrider Mako $17.99 121 65% 3.6k $65k (exactly $65,304) Asamado Games
Return to Dark Castle $19.99 80 95% 2.4k $48k (exactly $47,976) Z Sculpt Entertainment
SomnaBuster $14.99 89 97% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) PD_CGT
Aggelos 2 $19.99 61 73% 1.8k $37k (exactly $36,582) WONDERBOY BOBI
Aureole - Wings of Hope $12.99 84 95% 2.5k $33k (exactly $32,735) Team Stargazers
Beholgar 2 $11.99 77 80% 2.3k $28k (exactly $27,697) Serkan Bakar
Unnamed Pogo Game $6.99 127 85% 3.8k $27k (exactly $26,632) Unnamed Games
Janosik 2 $8.99 70 95% 2.1k $19k (exactly $18,879) Onix Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.