Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Faith

Of 25 developers who shipped a Faith Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $5.0k, ×11 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 28 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 28 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $299 → $1.2k → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $716 (exactly $716)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 5% $5.0k (exactly $5,027)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 54
Announced 28
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.50

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Exploration
Price point
$3.50 typical · top 25% priced $4.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $4.99 or above; the middle game at $3.50.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 467 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $720, 1 in 4 over $1.3k, 1 in 20 over $5.0k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
That Dragon, Cancer older $9.99 1,369 89% 41k $410k (exactly $410,289) Numinous Games
SUFFOCATE $16.99 272 83% 8.2k $139k (exactly $138,638) Naughty Cow
Umbral older $9.99 18 83% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Walter O. M. Junior
7 Days Shrine $3.99 42 83% 1.3k $5.0k (exactly $5,027) Na2Ka
Queen of Seas older $0.99 145 80% 4.4k $4.3k (exactly $4,306) KomBits Game Studio
YaeiJinja $3.99 30 96% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) Kikka
Welcome to PINEHILLS older $4.99 21 38% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) SPLR Studio
The Shadow Over Route 80 older $1.99 51 92% 1.5k $3.0k (exactly $3,045) the ito project
Food Delivery Service older $2.99 30 66% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) KIMIDORI SOFT
Heritage $2.99 27 62% 810 $2.4k (exactly $2,422) Karayolu Games
Lost Verses $4.99 13 38% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Behrmann Studios
SCULPTURE $3.99 16 50% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) sasanuki
RealityIQ | الواقع $4.99 9 100% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) kajol
Testimonium $0.99 41 92% 1.2k $1.2k (exactly $1,218) Andrii Sotnyk
No Path Forward $7.99 5 100% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) keyboard
Penance $2.99 12 100% 360 $1.1k (exactly $1,076) Scriptorium Artis

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.