Do I ship it?

GamesStrategyStrategy + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Strategy game?

Strategy + Faith

Of 35 developers who shipped a Faith Strategy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×200 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 57 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.4 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 57 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $6.2k → $2.2k → $1.5k → $4.3k → $13k (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,155)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,985)
Top 5% $126k (exactly $125,790)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 103
Announced 57
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Resource Management, Roguelike
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 2,479 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds50 devs · median $65k · 27 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair62 devs · median $16k · 74 announced
  3. + BaseballFair14 devs · median $7.5k · 7 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Fair89 devs · median $6.7k · 91 announced
  5. + WuxiaFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 41 announced
  6. + FarmingFair44 devs · median $4.3k · 42 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 94 announced
  8. + SubmarineFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  9. + NavalFair66 devs · median $2.2k · 88 announced
  10. + IdlerFair696 devs · median $1.9k · 988 announced
  11. + Shop KeeperFair159 devs · median $1.8k · 264 announced
  12. + HackingFair96 devs · median $1.2k · 132 announced

All 275 pairs on the Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Touhou: Lost Branch of Legend · EA older $29.99 2,036 92% 61k $1.8M (exactly $1,831,789) Alioth Studio
Honey, I Joined a Cult older $25.99 1,380 73% 41k $1.1M (exactly $1,075,986) Sole Survivor Games
Touhou Ibunseki - Ayaria Dawn: ReCreation older $18.99 1,384 84% 42k $788k (exactly $788,465) Team L.U.R.Id Glow
Touhou Monster TD ~ 幻想乡妖怪塔防 older $18.99 948 90% 28k $540k (exactly $540,076) MyACG Studio
Black & White older $14.99 612 71% 18k $275k (exactly $275,216) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
绯红编年史 ~ Chronicle of Scarlet ~ $12.99 697 88% 21k $272k (exactly $271,621) Charge Piggy Studio
Ruff Ghanor older $19.99 435 85% 13k $261k (exactly $260,869) DX Gameworks
AutoChess of Gensokyo · EA older $15.99 355 67% 11k $170k (exactly $170,294) MyACG Studio
Marisa!ReturnTheBook! $5.99 700 90% 21k $126k (exactly $125,790) NARROW, TSUKUYOMIC
Malys $14.99 172 79% 5.2k $77k (exactly $77,348) Summerfall Studios
Feudal Baron: King's Land $19.99 78 33% 2.3k $47k (exactly $46,777) Sim Farm S.A.
Idle Chapel $6.99 205 78% 6.2k $43k (exactly $42,988) Outer Choir
Touhou Witch's Night Market $4.99 236 93% 7.1k $35k (exactly $35,329) Meboxen Studio
Touhou Rinrinki ~ Crafts of the Lucky Beast · EA $9.99 117 92% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) Starcrow Dev
Religion inc. $4.99 128 72% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,162) GameFirst
Sainthood $9.99 50 94% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Sainthood Project
东方裁判梦~Rookie Attorney Legendry $4.99 96 63% 2.9k $14k (exactly $14,371) YEARS

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.