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Should I ship a Walking Simulator Driving game?
Driving + Walking Simulator
Of 28 developers who shipped a Walking Simulator Driving game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $6.9k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×2726 the market median. Revenue is up 310% on the market; 52 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) |
|---|---|
| Median | $6.9k (exactly $6,943) |
| Top 25% | $29k (exactly $28,540) |
| Top 5% | $1.7M (exactly $1,711,698) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 28 |
| Released games | 92 |
| Announced | 52 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 310% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Driving
- effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Driving, Walking Simulator; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Simulation, Life Sim
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 27,172 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.0k. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Driving with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Survival HorrorFair
- + World War IIFair
- + MusicFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + LogicFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | My Winter Car | · EA | $14.99 | 18,614 94% | 558k | $8.4M (exactly $8,370,716) | Amistech Games |
| | Cloudpunk | older | $19.99 | 13,788 87% | 414k | $8.3M (exactly $8,268,664) | ION LANDS |
| | Thief Simulator 2 | older | $19.99 | 6,568 87% | 197k | $3.9M (exactly $3,938,830) | CookieDev, Ultimate Games S.A. |
| | Lake | older | $19.99 | 4,484 87% | 135k | $2.7M (exactly $2,689,055) | Gamious |
| | Train Sim World® 2020 | older | $12.99 | 5,912 77% | 177k | $2.3M (exactly $2,303,906) | Dovetail Games |
| | Fears to Fathom - Ironbark Lookout | older | $9.99 | 6,081 92% | 182k | $1.8M (exactly $1,822,476) | Rayll Studios |
| | Fears to Fathom® - Scratch Creek | $7.99 | 7,141 75% | 214k | $1.7M (exactly $1,711,698) | Rayll | |
| | Junkyard Simulator | · EA older | $19.99 | 2,182 64% | 65k | $1.3M (exactly $1,308,545) | Rebelia Games |
| | Fears to Fathom - Woodbury Getaway | older | $9.99 | 3,470 86% | 104k | $1.0M (exactly $1,039,959) | Rayll Studios |
| | Thief Simulator VR | older | $19.99 | 1,368 69% | 41k | $820k (exactly $820,390) | GameBoom VR |
| | Brno Transit | $8.99 | 589 85% | 18k | $159k (exactly $158,853) | Spytihněv | |
| | Road Maintenance Simulator 2 - Winter Services | $24.99 | 117 49% | 3.5k | $88k (exactly $87,715) | Caipirinha Games | |
| | Friendly Steps | $7.99 | 232 65% | 7.0k | $56k (exactly $55,610) | KORO.GAMES | |
| | True Nightmare - Roadside Сafe | $7.99 | 135 80% | 4.1k | $32k (exactly $32,360) | Frost Fox Studios | |
| | CyberTaxi: Lunatic Nights | · EA | $13.99 | 68 55% | 2.0k | $29k (exactly $28,540) | Hed Media Games |
| | Parcel Delivery Simulator | $6.99 | 114 61% | 3.4k | $24k (exactly $23,906) | Digital Melody | |
| | Terrors to Unveil - Day Off | $4.99 | 105 68% | 3.2k | $16k (exactly $15,718) | Psycho | |
| | House Cleaner Simulator | $5.99 | 57 50% | 1.7k | $10k (exactly $10,243) | Digital Melody |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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