Do I ship it?

GamesDrivingDriving + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Driving game?

Driving + Logic

Of 30 developers who shipped a Logic Driving game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $240. Revenue is flat on the market; 29 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 29 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Driving + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $898 → $599 (still earning) → $9.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Driving + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $958 (exactly $958)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 5% $31k (exactly $31,268)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 57
Announced 29
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Driving
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Driving, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Simulation, Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 716 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $960, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $31k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Driving with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair35 devs · median $5.9k · 43 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  4. + Survival HorrorFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  5. + World War IIFair8 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  6. + MusicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 10 announced
  7. + ThrillerFair18 devs · median $2.0k · 21 announced
  8. + Interactive FictionFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair26 devs · median $897 · 23 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds82 devs · median $48k · 157 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds24 devs · median $44k · 36 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds24 devs · median $39k · 29 announced

All 130 pairs on the Driving page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Revhead older $19.99 597 80% 18k $358k (exactly $358,021) Creative Pudding Hungary Llc.
CAR TUNE: Project · EA older $18.99 585 84% 18k $333k (exactly $333,274) Vertices Software
GRIDROAD $9.99 385 82% 12k $115k (exactly $115,384) RAJACORP
Robot Detour $5.99 174 100% 5.2k $31k (exactly $31,268) Nozomu Games
World of Contraptions older $9.99 89 86% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,673) JCP Games Studio
Cam Op Simulator older $39.99 18 83% 540 $22k (exactly $21,595) Matt Workman
Forklift Simulator 2023 older $7.99 74 68% 2.2k $18k (exactly $17,738) Revolt Games
Last Generation: Survival older $19.99 20 50% 600 $12k (exactly $11,994) Furious Dogs
Parking in Tight Spaces $9.99 40 77% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Hungry Devs
Car Hustle Simulator · EA $14.99 26 73% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) Silent Code Games
Screw Drivers $7.99 39 74% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) Creactstudios
Ready-Player-Go! $14.99 5 60% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Ready-Player-Go!
Forklift Certified $5.99 12 100% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) Reilly Webster
Junkcity Factory Simulator $4.99 12 66% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Simnetic Game
Arrive In Time $3.99 15 93% 450 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Hade Games
Parcel Dash $6.99 8 87% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Roslin Studios, Leland Wilson

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.