Do I ship it?

GamesDrivingDriving + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Management Driving game?

Driving + Time Management

Of 48 developers who shipped a Time Management Driving game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 77 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×3.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $660; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×442 the market median. Revenue is up 180% on the market; 77 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 180% on the market, 77 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Driving + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 48
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $17k → $1.6k → $1.2k → $1.4k → $3.9k → $959 → $2.3k (still earning) → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Driving + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 48
Bottom 30% $657 (exactly $657)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $33,156)
Top 5% $277k (exactly $277,389)
Developers, 2 yr 48
Released games 108
Announced 77
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 180% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Driving
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Driving, Time Management; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Immersive Sim
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 10,313 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $660, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $660. 8 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 77 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Driving with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair35 devs · median $5.9k · 43 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  4. + Survival HorrorFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  5. + World War IIFair8 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  6. + MusicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 10 announced
  7. + ThrillerFair18 devs · median $2.0k · 21 announced
  8. + Interactive FictionFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  9. + LogicFair30 devs · median $958 · 29 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair26 devs · median $897 · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds82 devs · median $48k · 157 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds24 devs · median $44k · 36 announced

All 130 pairs on the Driving page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Bus $39.99 7,831 73% 235k $9.4M (exactly $9,394,851) TML-Studios
F1® Manager 2024 older $34.99 5,554 83% 167k $5.8M (exactly $5,830,034) Frontier Developments
WRC 10 FIA World Rally Championship older $49.99 2,657 73% 80k $4.0M (exactly $3,984,703) KT Racing
WRC 9 FIA World Rally Championship older $29.99 3,642 77% 109k $3.3M (exactly $3,276,707) KT Racing
Ships At Sea · EA older $24.99 2,479 69% 74k $1.9M (exactly $1,858,506) Misc Games
WRC 8 FIA World Rally Championship older $29.99 2,007 74% 60k $1.8M (exactly $1,805,698) KT Racing
Lawn Mowing Simulator older $19.99 2,126 74% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,274,962) Skyhook Games
SubwaySim Hamburg older $34.99 345 71% 10k $362k (exactly $362,146) Simuverse Interactive
Underground Garage $14.99 646 63% 19k $291k (exactly $290,506) BeardedBrothers.games
Emergency Call - The Firefighting Simulation 3 · EA $24.99 370 71% 11k $277k (exactly $277,389) Crenetic GmbH Studios
GT Manager $24.99 236 71% 7.1k $177k (exactly $176,929) THE TINY DIGITAL FACTORY, IMV STUDIO
Rally Mechanic Simulator $17.99 195 69% 5.9k $105k (exactly $105,241) Play2Chill S.A., Atomic Jelly
Train Valley Origins $11.95 266 75% 8.0k $95k (exactly $95,361) Flazm
Food Delivery Simulator · EA $7.99 302 77% 9.1k $72k (exactly $72,389) Black Sea Studios
Business Simulator 2026 · EA $11.99 178 74% 5.3k $64k (exactly $64,027) HOGO Games
PROFITS 2167: Planetary Resource Optimization & Freight Infrastructure Technician Simulator · EA $6.99 209 98% 6.3k $44k (exactly $43,827) Simple Software Solutions
Tipston Salvage $16.99 80 97% 2.4k $41k (exactly $40,776) Pontus Karlsson

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.