Do I ship it?

Games › Driving › Driving + Time Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Attack Driving game?

Driving + Time Attack

Of 20 developers who shipped a Time Attack Driving game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.8k, ×4.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $7.8M, ×12546 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 19 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 19 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Driving + Time Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $28k → $18k → $20k → $2.8k (still earning) → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Driving + Time Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $539 (exactly $539)
Median $2.8k (exactly $2,844)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $19,767)
Top 5% $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 59
Announced 19
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Driving
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
Time Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Driving, Time Attack; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Physics, Racing, Simulation
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 11,433 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $2.8k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $7.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Driving with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair35 devs · median $5.9k · 43 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  4. + Survival HorrorFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  5. + World War IIFair8 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  6. + MusicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 10 announced
  7. + ThrillerFair18 devs · median $2.0k · 21 announced
  8. + Interactive FictionFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  9. + LogicFair30 devs · median $958 · 29 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair26 devs · median $897 · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds82 devs · median $48k · 157 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds24 devs · median $44k · 36 announced

All 130 pairs on the Driving page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Assetto Corsa Rally 2025 · EA · $7.9M Motor Town: Behind The Wheel 2021 · EA · $5.4M Trackmania United Forever 2008 · $2.2M Trackmania® Turbo 2016 · $1.8M TrackMania² Stadium 2013 · $1.6M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assetto Corsa Rally · EA $29.99 8,757 87% 263k $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673) Supernova Games Studios
Motor Town: Behind The Wheel · EA older $19.99 8,971 93% 269k $5.4M (exactly $5,379,909) P3 Games
Trackmania United Forever older $29.99 2,488 94% 75k $2.2M (exactly $2,238,454) Nadeo
Trackmania® Turbo older $39.99 1,520 66% 46k $1.8M (exactly $1,823,544) Nadeo
TrackMania² Stadium older $9.99 5,340 88% 160k $1.6M (exactly $1,600,398) Nadeo
TrackMania² Canyon older $19.99 1,384 80% 42k $830k (exactly $829,985) Nadeo
Yellow Taxi Goes Vroom older $16.99 1,621 97% 49k $826k (exactly $826,224) Panik Arcade
Slackers - Carts of Glory $12.99 1,984 91% 60k $773k (exactly $773,165) Falling Saints
Barro older $4.99 3,253 85% 98k $487k (exactly $486,974) SC Jogos
Barro F older $4.99 2,329 84% 70k $349k (exactly $348,651) SC Jogos
DEADLINE DELIVERY $14.99 319 85% 9.6k $143k (exactly $143,454) GOOD1 Studios
Reverse Problem $12.99 52 86% 1.6k $20k (exactly $20,264) Tag Axle Games
Ballest of Them All · EA $5.99 110 97% 3.3k $20k (exactly $19,767) Low5ive, Action Jackson
Barro F25 $4.99 117 86% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,515) SC Jogos
Barro 2026 $4.99 47 70% 1.4k $7.0k (exactly $7,036) Grishko Games
Drifters Don't Brake: Midnight $9.99 17 94% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) HackoonDev
Supersonic Bridge Racing $11.99 11 100% 330 $4.0k (exactly $3,957) Stumi Games
Turbo Hatchback Time Attack $4.99 19 100% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Grumpy Pizza

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.