Do I ship it?

GamesDrivingDriving + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer Driving game?

Driving + Puzzle Platformer

Only 14 developers shipped a Puzzle Platformer Driving game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WheelMates, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×474 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 24 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 24 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Driving + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $1.7k → $628 (still earning) → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Driving + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 25% $9.7k (exactly $9,730)
Top 5% $297k (exactly $297,451)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 47
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 265% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Driving
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Driving, Puzzle Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry 3D Platformer, Adventure, Physics
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, Funny, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 1,432 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $9.7k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Driving with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair35 devs · median $5.9k · 43 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  4. + Survival HorrorFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  5. + World War IIFair8 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  6. + MusicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 10 announced
  7. + ThrillerFair18 devs · median $2.0k · 21 announced
  8. + Interactive FictionFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  9. + LogicFair30 devs · median $958 · 29 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair26 devs · median $897 · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds82 devs · median $48k · 157 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds24 devs · median $44k · 36 announced

All 130 pairs on the Driving page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FAR: Lone Sails older $14.99 24,474 95% 734k $11M (exactly $11,005,958) Okomotive
WheelMates $19.99 496 75% 15k $297k (exactly $297,451) Firevolt
JellyCar Worlds older $7.99 1,008 96% 30k $242k (exactly $241,618) Walaber Entertainment LLC
Youropa older $14.99 288 93% 8.6k $130k (exactly $129,514) frecle
OVERPASS™ older $29.99 104 51% 3.1k $94k (exactly $93,569) Zordix Racing
Chained Wheels $4.99 619 69% 19k $93k (exactly $92,664) Karga Games
Mugsters older $19.99 70 67% 2.1k $42k (exactly $41,979) Reinkout Games
Driving Is Hard $6.99 200 79% 6.0k $42k (exactly $41,940) Elegant Horse Studios
World of Contraptions older $9.99 89 86% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,673) JCP Games Studio
Forklift Extreme: Deluxe Edition older $9.99 59 94% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Last Man Gaming
Goblintown: Really Hard Driving Game · EA $4.99 65 89% 2.0k $9.7k (exactly $9,730) BiG INC. CO. LLC.
Delivery Up Together $5.99 13 69% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) Artem Breineng
Human Parking Simulator $8.99 7 85% 210 $1.9k (exactly $1,888) NewAtlantisGameStudio
Arrive In Time $3.99 15 93% 450 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Hade Games
SERPENT AT THE VERNISSAGE $6.99 8 100% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) a trip by daniel bock
Park It! $2.99 7 71% 210 $628 (exactly $628) FunFlow
Jumping Eras $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Michi Soul Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.