Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + Dragons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dragon Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Dragons

Only 4 developers shipped a Dragon Walking Simulator in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 10 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced, ×8.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $6.0k against a market of $630. 8 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 9.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 8 announced, ×8.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Dragons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Dragons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $6.0k (exactly $5,992)
Top 5% $631k (exactly $631,042)
Developers, 4 yr 10
Released games 25
Announced 8
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dragons
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 237,347 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $630k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×8.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition older $39.99 219,271 94% 6.6M $263M (exactly $263,059,419) Bethesda Game Studios
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim VR older $59.99 9,129 74% 274k $16M (exactly $16,429,461) Bethesda Game Studios
CastleMiner Z older $5.99 7,939 83% 238k $1.4M (exactly $1,426,638) DigitalDNA Games
Amerzone - The Explorer's Legacy $39.99 526 90% 16k $631k (exactly $631,042) Microids Studio Paris
Drizzlepath: Genie older $3.99 158 55% 4.7k $19k (exactly $18,913) Tonguç Bodur
Rift's Cave older $4.99 93 68% 2.8k $14k (exactly $13,922) Volens Nolens Games
Dragon Audit older $9.99 44 97% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Archive Entertainment
The Exile of Aphrodisia (2023) older $14.99 23 95% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Blue Fairy Media LLC
The Hunting God older $1.99 139 65% 4.2k $8.3k (exactly $8,298) Tonguç Bodur
Wilderless: Meadowfell $7.99 25 84% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Protopop
DarkShine · EA $3.00 5 100% 150 $450 (exactly $450) DScorp
Assassin of Dragon $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Saylor Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.