Do I ship it?

Games › Management › Management + Dinosaurs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dinosaur Management game?

Management + Dinosaurs

Only 10 developers shipped a Dinosaur Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Jurassic World Evolution 3, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×4.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $20M, ×32632 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 21 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Dinosaurs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $179k → $2.2k → $7.6k → $1.1k → $2.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Dinosaurs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,055)
Top 25% $8.5k (exactly $8,544)
Top 5% $20M (exactly $20,493,184)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 43
Announced 21
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dinosaurs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Management
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 91% positive over 13,264 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $8.5k, 1 in 20 over $20M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Jurassic World Evolution 2 2021 · $71M Jurassic World Evolution 2018 · $65M Jurassic World Evolution 3 2025 · $20M Prehistoric Kingdom 2022 · EA · $5.1M Age of Wonders: Planetfall 2019 · $4.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Jurassic World Evolution 2 older $59.99 39,644 90% 1.2M $71M (exactly $71,347,307) Frontier Developments
Jurassic World Evolution older $44.99 48,311 87% 1.4M $65M (exactly $65,205,357) Frontier Developments
Jurassic World Evolution 3 $59.99 11,387 93% 342k $20M (exactly $20,493,184) Frontier Developments
Prehistoric Kingdom · EA older $29.99 5,640 90% 169k $5.1M (exactly $5,074,308) Blue Meridian
Age of Wonders: Planetfall older $29.99 4,758 80% 143k $4.3M (exactly $4,280,773) Triumph Studios
Let's Build a Zoo older $19.99 3,722 89% 112k $2.2M (exactly $2,232,083) Springloaded
Parkasaurus older $24.99 2,731 92% 82k $2.0M (exactly $2,047,431) Washbear Studio
Amber Isle $24.99 1,770 82% 53k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,969) Ambertail Games
Dinosaur Fossil Hunter older $19.99 820 77% 25k $492k (exactly $491,754) ▲ Pyramid Games
Dungeon Village older $8.99 829 88% 25k $224k (exactly $223,581) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Dinosaur $14.99 19 73% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Dinosaur Master
Dino Market $4.99 51 94% 1.5k $7.6k (exactly $7,635) Fuz Games
The Paddock $5.99 17 88% 510 $3.1k (exactly $3,055) Josh Devlin
Reptilarium $7.99 11 72% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) PiqFocus Interactive
Museum Magnate · EA $11.99 3 66% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Three Dragons s.r.o.
Jurassic Gym $5.99 5 100% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Mega Dwarf
Voxelony · EA $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) ShinyScale Games
Overhatched · EA $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ironforged Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.