Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Dating Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dating Sim Management game?

Management + Dating Sim

Of 89 developers who shipped a Dating Sim Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 149 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.1k, ×13 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $610k, ×987 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 149 games are announced against 51 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 149 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Dating Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 89
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $38k → $21k → $60k → $26k → $7.4k → $7.9k → $3.6k (still earning) → $11k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Dating Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 89
Bottom 30% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Median $8.1k (exactly $8,095)
Top 25% $63k (exactly $63,173)
Top 5% $620k (exactly $619,965)
Developers, 2 yr 89
Released games 238
Announced 149
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dating Sim
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management, Dating Sim; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, RPG, Life Sim
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 20,389 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.0k, median $8.1k, 1 in 4 over $63k, 1 in 20 over $610k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.0k. 6 in 10 of the 53 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 149 games are announced against 51 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal older $19.99 190,184 56% 5.7M $114M (exactly $114,053,345) 鬼谷工作室
Potionomics older $24.99 6,973 90% 209k $5.2M (exactly $5,227,658) Voracious Games
Summer Clover older $17.99 9,062 97% 272k $4.9M (exactly $4,890,761) Connection
I Was a Teenage Exocolonist older $24.99 4,443 96% 133k $3.3M (exactly $3,330,917) Northway Games
小白兔电商~Bunny e-Shop older $10.99 9,176 93% 275k $3.0M (exactly $3,025,327) 落叶岛项目组, 橘子班
Idol Manager older $19.99 3,777 87% 113k $2.3M (exactly $2,265,067) Glitch Pitch
Peeping Dorm Manager older $10.99 6,206 92% 186k $2.0M (exactly $2,046,118) HornyDoge
FEMBOY FUTA HOUSE $14.99 4,131 89% 124k $1.9M (exactly $1,857,711) IT'S A TRAP
Growing Up older $14.99 3,465 87% 104k $1.6M (exactly $1,558,210) Vile Monarch
Matchmaking Inc. $8.99 5,773 87% 173k $1.6M (exactly $1,556,978) Wave Games
Quickie: A Love Hotel Story $19.99 2,081 95% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,247,976) Oppai Games
Sani Yang's Laboratory $24.99 1,073 98% 32k $804k (exactly $804,428) TALESSHOP Co., Ltd.
Papa's Pizzeria Deluxe $5.99 3,450 98% 104k $620k (exactly $619,965) Flipline Studios
To Pixelia $14.99 1,194 73% 36k $537k (exactly $536,942) Pixeduo Studios
Maid Cafe on Electric Street $18.99 595 82% 18k $339k (exactly $338,972) Adventurer's Tavern
Mirai's Midnight Stream $15.99 627 84% 19k $301k (exactly $300,772) Fox House
Isekai Sex Boutique $10.99 746 88% 22k $246k (exactly $245,956) PEROCO WORKS
Love n Life: Happy Student $9.99 719 81% 22k $215k (exactly $215,484) Reborn Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.