Games › Rhythm › Rhythm + Dark Fantasy
Should I ship a Dark-Fantasy Rhythm game?
Rhythm + Dark Fantasy
Only 11 developers shipped a Dark-Fantasy Rhythm game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dismantling Workshop of Bio-Girl, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $14k, ×22 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×172 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 26 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.3k (exactly $1,319) |
|---|---|
| Median | $14k (exactly $14,086) |
| Top 25% | $95k (exactly $95,352) |
| Top 5% | $108k (exactly $107,964) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 26 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Rhythm
- effort 3 / 10 · medium · audio sync, timing precision and music rights
- Dark Fantasy
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Rhythm
- Price point
- $10.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 722 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Rhythm with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Choose Your Own AdventureStrong odds
- + Third-Person ShooterStrong odds
- + Visual NovelFair
- + ModernFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + ManagementFair
- + Beat 'em upFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Combat RacingFair
Comparable games
Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition 2019 · $467M 
Metal: Hellsinger 2022 · $13M 
Thumper 2016 · $2.4M 
FIGHT KNIGHT 2021 · $928k 
Dismantling Workshop of Bio-Girl 2025 · $108k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition | older | $59.99 | 259,508 95% | 7.8M | $467M (exactly $467,036,548) | FromSoftware, Inc. |
| | Metal: Hellsinger | older | $29.99 | 13,989 96% | 420k | $13M (exactly $12,585,903) | The Outsiders |
| | Thumper | older | $19.99 | 4,056 91% | 122k | $2.4M (exactly $2,432,383) | Drool |
| | FIGHT KNIGHT | older | $19.99 | 1,547 91% | 46k | $928k (exactly $927,736) | Team Sorcerobe |
| | Dismantling Workshop of Bio-Girl | $29.99 | 120 61% | 3.6k | $108k (exactly $107,964) | 渡里laboratory | |
 | Metal: Hellsinger VR | $29.99 | 107 68% | 3.2k | $96k (exactly $96,268) | Lab42, The Outsiders | |
 | Nientum - Op.ZERO | · EA | $19.99 | 159 98% | 4.8k | $95k (exactly $95,352) | QueseraGames |
 | Wardrum | $24.99 | 87 86% | 2.6k | $65k (exactly $65,224) | Mopeful Games | |
 | BLACK BIRD | older | $18.99 | 97 92% | 2.9k | $55k (exactly $55,261) | Onion Games |
 | Krimson | older | $9.99 | 115 99% | 3.5k | $34k (exactly $34,466) | CryingPsycho |
 | Ultimate Drummer | $5.99 | 170 98% | 5.1k | $31k (exactly $30,549) | Cool 3D World | |
 | The Shaman's Ark | $9.99 | 47 97% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,086) | Amortiz Games | |
 | Tides of The Endless | · EA | $7.99 | 25 84% | 750 | $6.0k (exactly $5,992) | Shimmer High Sea |
 | The Cascadier | · EA | $10.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.3k (exactly $1,319) | Enchanted Arcade |
 | ELLUSION | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Project Oops! | |
 | Era | $0.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | Elaolive |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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