Do I ship it?

Games › Walking Simulator › Walking Simulator + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Cyberpunk

Only 19 developers shipped a Cyberpunk Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cybernetic Fault, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 13 developers shipped in the last year and 35 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 35 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $150 → $719 → $1.2k → $179 → $119 (still earning) → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $305k (exactly $305,346)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 74
Announced 35
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Exploration, Action-Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 876 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $300k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Bomb Rush Cyberfunk 2023 · $15M Cloudpunk 2020 · $8.3M Nobody Wants to Die 2024 · $4.4M >observer_ 2017 · $3.6M Jazzpunk: Director's Cut 2014 · $2.9M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bomb Rush Cyberfunk older $39.99 12,645 98% 379k $15M (exactly $15,170,206) Team Reptile
Cloudpunk older $19.99 13,788 87% 414k $8.3M (exactly $8,268,664) ION LANDS
Nobody Wants to Die older $24.99 5,818 83% 175k $4.4M (exactly $4,361,755) Critical Hit Games
>observer_ older $29.99 4,030 79% 121k $3.6M (exactly $3,625,791) Bloober Team SA
Jazzpunk: Director's Cut older $14.99 6,407 94% 192k $2.9M (exactly $2,881,228) Necrophone Games
Observer: System Redux older $29.99 2,462 84% 74k $2.2M (exactly $2,215,061) Bloober Team, Anshar Studios
Tales of the Neon Sea older $16.99 3,853 84% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,963,874) YiTi Games
Tacoma older $19.99 3,099 87% 93k $1.9M (exactly $1,858,470) Fullbright
ECHO older $24.99 1,540 79% 46k $1.2M (exactly $1,154,538) ULTRA ULTRA
Apsulov: End of Gods older $19.99 1,509 86% 45k $905k (exactly $904,947) Angry Demon Studio
Cybernetic Fault $14.99 679 78% 20k $305k (exactly $305,346) Whale Rock Games
CyberTaxi: Lunatic Nights · EA $13.99 68 55% 2.0k $29k (exactly $28,540) Hed Media Games
Lily’s Labyrinth of Lust $9.99 81 48% 2.4k $24k (exactly $24,276) Erommersion Studios
Lullabies Made of Static $4.99 11 72% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Texhno Studios
Augmented Fear $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) OneFurInTheBox
HyperDissonance $4.99 9 88% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) meta, autoselff
Ambient Dark · EA $4.99 8 100% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Crystalline Green Ltd.
Mega City Parkour $5.99 4 25% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Jimbo_WestCoast
LSD Dream Emulator: BRUTALISMUS $1.99 10 20% 300 $597 (exactly $597) ETERNIDAD
Everfall 1999 · EA $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Mayhemcreations

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.