Do I ship it?

GamesTwin Stick ShooterTwin Stick Shooter + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Twin Stick Shooter?

Twin Stick Shooter + Cyberpunk

Of 31 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Twin Stick Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 71 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×251 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 71 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 71 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Twin Stick Shooter + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $27k → $598 → $16k → $3.0k → $150 → $897 → $1.2k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Twin Stick Shooter + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,846)
Top 5% $158k (exactly $157,845)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 128
Announced 71
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Twin Stick Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Twin Stick Shooter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Shooter, Action, Top-Down Shooter
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down, Isometric, Violent
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 1,214 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $5.8k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 71 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Twin Stick Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Psychological HorrorFair9 devs · median $718 · 4 announced
  2. + Looter ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  3. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds51 devs · median $11k · 57 announced
  4. + Tower DefensePoor odds12 devs · median $6.7k · 25 announced
  5. + MedievalPoor odds8 devs · median $6.3k · 32 announced
  6. + LootPoor odds24 devs · median $5.4k · 62 announced
  7. + Action RPGPoor odds52 devs · median $5.1k · 96 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds33 devs · median $4.7k · 65 announced
  9. + RPGPoor odds64 devs · median $4.6k · 122 announced
  10. + 2D FighterPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 28 announced
  11. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds30 devs · median $3.0k · 70 announced
  12. + DestructionPoor odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 39 announced

All 90 pairs on the Twin Stick Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Ascent older $29.99 19,235 74% 577k $17M (exactly $17,305,730) Neon Giant
RUINER older $19.99 10,338 89% 310k $6.2M (exactly $6,199,699) Reikon Games
SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising older $19.99 10,111 94% 303k $6.1M (exactly $6,063,567) Flow Fire Games
Brigador: Up-Armored Edition older $24.99 4,580 93% 137k $3.4M (exactly $3,433,626) Stellar Jockeys, Gausswerks
UBERMOSH older $4.99 8,757 92% 263k $1.3M (exactly $1,310,923) Walter Machado
Nex Machina older $19.99 1,467 89% 44k $880k (exactly $879,760) Housemarque
Brigador Killers · EA $24.99 572 69% 17k $429k (exactly $428,828) Stellar Jockeys, Gausswerks
Rogue Stormers older $19.99 649 65% 19k $389k (exactly $389,205) Black Forest Games
Doomsday Hunters older $15.99 703 89% 21k $337k (exactly $337,229) Moregames
Neon Chrome older $14.99 545 93% 16k $245k (exactly $245,086) 10tons Ltd
CyberCorp $14.99 351 75% 11k $158k (exactly $157,845) Megame LLC
Memory Lost $19.99 53 92% 1.6k $32k (exactly $31,784) Magic Hazard
RoadOut $14.99 34 97% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Rastrolabs Game Studio
HoverGrease 2 $19.99 24 83% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) Altergaze
BloodDome99 $4.99 79 94% 2.4k $12k (exactly $11,826) Halftone Gaming
NeverCOM · EA $4.99 49 95% 1.5k $7.3k (exactly $7,335) Shenzhen Huajian Network Technology Co.… (Shenzhen Huajian Network Technology Co., Ltd)
Blood in the Panopticon $12.99 15 100% 450 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) SIS STYLE INTERACTIVE
WATERPUNK $8.99 21 95% 630 $5.7k (exactly $5,664) R_Games
Neon Spellstorm $9.99 16 93% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) TopCog

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.