Do I ship it?

GamesRhythmRhythm + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Rhythm game?

Rhythm + Cyberpunk

Of 45 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Rhythm game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×215 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 48 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 48 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Rhythm + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.5k → $1.2k → $12k → $1.7k → $13k → $1.6k (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Rhythm + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,486)
Top 5% $135k (exactly $134,932)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 128
Announced 48
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Rhythm
effort 3 / 10 · medium · audio sync, timing precision and music rights
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Rhythm; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Combat
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Stylized, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 14,008 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Rhythm with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + Third-Person ShooterStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $18k · 52 announced
  4. + ModernFair15 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  5. + Artificial IntelligenceFair8 devs · median $7.8k · 13 announced
  6. + LGBTQ+Fair23 devs · median $7.2k · 26 announced
  7. + ManagementFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upFair17 devs · median $4.5k · 15 announced
  9. + Dating SimFair21 devs · median $3.1k · 17 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  11. + SimulationFair114 devs · median $980 · 100 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced

All 110 pairs on the Rhythm page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hi-Fi RUSH older $29.99 27,454 97% 824k $25M (exactly $24,700,364) Tango Gameworks
Dead as Disco · EA $24.99 12,354 96% 371k $9.3M (exactly $9,261,794) Brain Jar Games, Inc.
Pistol Whip older $29.99 3,586 94% 108k $3.2M (exactly $3,226,324) Cloudhead Games Ltd.
Synth Riders older $24.99 1,336 92% 40k $1.0M (exactly $1,001,599) Kluge Interactive
Rez Infinite older $24.99 1,166 91% 35k $874k (exactly $874,150) Monstars Inc., Resonair
Neon Drive older $9.99 1,664 86% 50k $499k (exactly $498,701) Fraoula, Spiky Crumb
Hatsune Miku VR older $24.99 616 72% 18k $462k (exactly $461,815) Crypton Future Media
Synthwave Burnout $12.99 751 74% 23k $293k (exactly $292,665) Whale Rock Games
Keylocker | Turn Based Cyberpunk Action $19.99 225 84% 6.8k $135k (exactly $134,932) Moonana
Dance Dash · EA older $19.99 155 82% 4.7k $93k (exactly $92,954) Rebuff Reality
PROJEKT GODHAND $15.80 158 96% 4.7k $75k (exactly $74,892) Anarch Entertainment
GRIDbeat! $19.99 93 100% 2.8k $56k (exactly $55,772) Ridiculous Games
CYBERMATRIX $12.00 127 89% 3.8k $46k (exactly $45,720) Tim Murich
Band Space $19.99 46 78% 1.4k $28k (exactly $27,586) Smartmelon Games
Rhythm Storm $9.99 86 91% 2.6k $26k (exactly $25,774) Radiangames
ION Shift $5.99 140 90% 4.2k $25k (exactly $25,158) Electro Soul Games
COLD VR $19.99 28 60% 840 $17k (exactly $16,792) ALLWARE LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.