Do I ship it?

GamesDrivingDriving + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Driving game?

Driving + Cyberpunk

Of 35 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Driving game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 81 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $630k, ×1006 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 81 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 81 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Driving + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $2.7k → $3.9k → $2.4k → $1.5k → $1.7k → $4.0k (still earning) → $8.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Driving + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,246)
Top 25% $9.6k (exactly $9,598)
Top 5% $632k (exactly $632,067)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 113
Announced 81
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Driving
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Driving; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Racing
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 4,007 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $9.5k, 1 in 20 over $630k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 81 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Driving with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair35 devs · median $5.9k · 43 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  4. + Survival HorrorFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  5. + World War IIFair8 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  6. + MusicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 10 announced
  7. + ThrillerFair18 devs · median $2.0k · 21 announced
  8. + Interactive FictionFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  9. + LogicFair30 devs · median $958 · 29 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair26 devs · median $897 · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds82 devs · median $48k · 157 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds24 devs · median $44k · 36 announced

All 130 pairs on the Driving page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Watch Dogs®: Legion older $59.99 11,891 56% 357k $21M (exactly $21,400,233) Ubisoft Toronto
Cloudpunk older $19.99 13,788 87% 414k $8.3M (exactly $8,268,664) ION LANDS
Screamer $59.99 1,039 80% 31k $1.9M (exactly $1,869,888) Milestone S.r.l.
Pacer older $39.99 576 72% 17k $691k (exactly $691,027) R8 Games Ltd
TerraTech Legion $9.99 2,109 81% 63k $632k (exactly $632,067) Payload Studios
Neon Drive older $9.99 1,664 86% 50k $499k (exactly $498,701) Fraoula, Spiky Crumb
OutDrive older $2.99 3,625 78% 109k $325k (exactly $325,162) DNVR Prod
反转21克 older $8.99 1,020 72% 31k $275k (exactly $275,094) 想象颗粒
Titan Attacks! older $9.99 654 92% 20k $196k (exactly $196,004) Puppygames
XF Extreme Formula $11.99 366 90% 11k $132k (exactly $131,650) Feperd Games
PROFITS 2167: Planetary Resource Optimization & Freight Infrastructure Technician Simulator · EA $6.99 209 98% 6.3k $44k (exactly $43,827) Simple Software Solutions
CyberTaxi: Lunatic Nights · EA $13.99 68 55% 2.0k $29k (exactly $28,540) Hed Media Games
RoadOut $14.99 34 97% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Rastrolabs Game Studio
Cyber Clutch: Hot Import Nights $19.99 21 61% 630 $13k (exactly $12,594) Gunpowder Games, Focuspoint Studios
Alter Evo $14.99 23 95% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Technical Fiction
Synthwave Driver · EA $2.99 107 86% 3.2k $9.6k (exactly $9,598) Runebox Studios
Cyberpunk Store Simulator · EA $8.99 31 90% 930 $8.4k (exactly $8,361) ICON GAME STUDIO

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.