Do I ship it?

GamesHidden ObjectHidden Object + Crime

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crime Hidden Object?

Hidden Object + Crime

Of 58 developers who shipped a Crime Hidden Object in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 75 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $66k, ×106 the market median. Revenue is up 70% on the market; 75 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 70% on the market, 75 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hidden Object + Crime
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $719 → $1.8k → $1.7k → $3.6k → $1.3k → $1.2k → $3.7k (still earning) → $720 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hidden Object + Crime: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $5.1k (exactly $5,090)
Top 5% $67k (exactly $66,533)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 205
Announced 75
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets
Crime
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hidden Object; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Puzzle
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 1,690 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $5.0k, 1 in 20 over $66k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 9 in 10 of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 75 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hidden Object with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  2. + Level EditorFair12 devs · median $7.6k · 14 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair46 devs · median $3.5k · 41 announced
  4. + CatsFair128 devs · median $1.5k · 160 announced
  5. + DogsFair35 devs · median $1.5k · 18 announced
  6. + RomanceFair60 devs · median $1.5k · 48 announced
  7. + FlightFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  8. + City BuilderFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationFair475 devs · median $1.2k · 555 announced
  10. + UnderwaterFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Word GameFair29 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair470 devs · median $1.2k · 502 announced

All 188 pairs on the Hidden Object page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Chicken Police - Paint it RED! older $19.99 1,624 94% 49k $974k (exactly $973,913) The Wild Gentlemen
Agatha Christie - The ABC Murders older $14.99 2,037 80% 61k $916k (exactly $916,039) Artefacts Studio
Agatha Christie - Hercule Poirot: The First Cases older $19.99 1,168 76% 35k $700k (exactly $700,450) Blazing Griffin
Sunday Gold older $21.99 687 77% 21k $453k (exactly $453,214) BKOM Studios
Crime O'Clock older $19.99 403 66% 12k $242k (exactly $241,679) Bad Seed
Agatha Christie - Hercule Poirot: The London Case older $29.99 249 55% 7.5k $224k (exactly $224,025) Blazing Griffin
Nancy Drew®: Warnings at Waverly Academy older $14.99 335 90% 10k $151k (exactly $150,650) HeR Interactive
Cursed Digicam | 呪われたデジカメ $7.99 611 78% 18k $146k (exactly $146,457) Chilla's Art
Hope Lake older $7.99 501 71% 15k $120k (exactly $120,090) Far Mills, Mysterytag
Inspector Waffles older $12.99 223 95% 6.7k $87k (exactly $86,903) Goloso Games
Dream Cage $7.99 298 63% 8.9k $71k (exactly $71,431) Hitori De Productions
Secrets of Blackrock Manor - Escape Room $9.99 222 80% 6.7k $67k (exactly $66,533) Biri Biri
LAN Party Adventures $14.99 93 89% 2.8k $42k (exactly $41,822) LEAP Game Studios
Omen Exitio: Hunger $9.99 117 88% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) Tiny Bull Studios
Find or be Found $7.99 117 69% 3.5k $28k (exactly $28,045) Studio Downstairs
Ghost Deliverer · EA $18.99 28 96% 840 $16k (exactly $15,952) TEAMDADA
IMPETUM $4.99 87 60% 2.6k $13k (exactly $13,024) TrueGames
Detective INNA DUKE $5.99 62 100% 1.9k $11k (exactly $11,141) HmarkaTeam
Night at the Office $4.99 55 81% 1.7k $8.2k (exactly $8,234) Stanislaw Truchowski

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.