Do I ship it?

Games › Driving › Driving + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Driving game?

Driving + Collectathon

Of 20 developers who shipped a Collectathon Driving game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $40k, ×65 the market median. Revenue is up 575% on the market; 34 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 575% on the market, 34 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Driving + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $1.6k → $1.7k → $479 → $1.8k → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Driving + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $3.5k (exactly $3,528)
Top 5% $41k (exactly $40,553)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 55
Announced 34
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 575% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Driving
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Driving, Collectathon; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Immersive Sim, Racing, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 59% positive over 245 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $40k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Driving with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair35 devs · median $5.9k · 43 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  4. + Survival HorrorFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  5. + World War IIFair8 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  6. + MusicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 10 announced
  7. + ThrillerFair18 devs · median $2.0k · 21 announced
  8. + Interactive FictionFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  9. + LogicFair30 devs · median $958 · 29 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair26 devs · median $897 · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds82 devs · median $48k · 157 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds24 devs · median $44k · 36 announced

All 130 pairs on the Driving page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Yellow Taxi Goes Vroom 2024 · $826k Amazing Frog? 2 2022 · EA · $435k Garbage Truck Simulator 2023 · $45k Baking Bad 2026 · EA · $41k Japanese Rail Sim: Hakone Town of Natural Beauty and Hot Springs 2024 · $30k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Yellow Taxi Goes Vroom older $16.99 1,621 97% 49k $826k (exactly $826,224) Panik Arcade
Amazing Frog? 2 · EA older $19.99 726 77% 22k $435k (exactly $435,382) Fayju
Garbage Truck Simulator older $8.99 166 71% 5.0k $45k (exactly $44,770) Darius Bode
Baking Bad · EA $10.99 123 32% 3.7k $41k (exactly $40,553) FunkyArmor
Japanese Rail Sim: Hakone Town of Natural Beauty and Hot Springs $49.99 20 75% 600 $30k (exactly $29,994) Sonic Powered Co.,Ltd.
Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition $64.99 14 78% 420 $27k (exactly $27,296) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
Minit Fun Racer older $2.99 253 97% 7.6k $23k (exactly $22,694) JW, Kitty, Jukio, Dom
Taxi Chaos older $24.99 22 50% 660 $16k (exactly $16,493) Team6 Game Studios
The Last Hope older $1.99 268 46% 8.0k $16k (exactly $16,000) Balti Calarasi
RoadOut $14.99 34 97% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Rastrolabs Game Studio
✈️Velocity Wings✈️ $9.80 12 91% 360 $3.5k (exactly $3,528) ZhiFeng Games
32 SECS $4.99 15 80% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,246) isTom Games Kft.
Rosie Planet $12.99 5 100% 150 $1.9k (exactly $1,948) Connor Leary
Death Nomad $9.99 6 50% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Cosmic Noise
Critter Drifters $4.99 12 100% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Doodle Donut
GMH - Good Morning Human ! $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) W-9000 Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.