Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Sports

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a City Builder Sports game?

City Builder + Sports

Only 5 developers shipped a City Builder Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Under Par Golf Architect, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $11k against a market of $630. 8 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 17.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 8 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Sports
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for City Builder + Sports: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Median $11k (exactly $11,058)
Top 25% $29k (exactly $29,397)
Top 5% $95k (exactly $94,753)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 34
Announced 8
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder, Sports
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 1,182 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.9k, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $29k, 1 in 20 over $94k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.9k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 8 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Under Par Golf Architect $19.99 158 81% 4.7k $95k (exactly $94,753) Broken Arms Games
Basketball Club Story older $8.99 184 71% 5.5k $50k (exactly $49,625) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Pocket League Story older $8.99 160 88% 4.8k $43k (exactly $43,152) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Home Run High older $8.99 155 72% 4.7k $42k (exactly $41,804) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Resort Boss: Golf older $12.99 95 35% 2.9k $37k (exactly $37,022) Gus Martin
Pro Wrestler Story $8.99 109 49% 3.3k $29k (exactly $29,397) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Shiny Ski Resort older $8.99 102 92% 3.1k $28k (exactly $27,509) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Boxing Gym Story older $10.99 79 68% 2.4k $26k (exactly $26,046) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Skating Rink Story $12.99 66 89% 2.0k $26k (exactly $25,720) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Ski Park Tycoon older $9.99 74 60% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,178) by Jan Zizka
Octohill Ski Tycoon $8.99 41 85% 1.2k $11k (exactly $11,058) DeuxBaguettes
Happy Piggy $9.99 13 100% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
Doomvile Brainrot $0.99 15 66% 450 $446 (exactly $446) Gamesforgames
Splatapult $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Recoil Mojo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.