Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Rome

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roman City Builder?

City Builder + Rome

Only 9 developers shipped a Roman City Builder in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Anno 117: Pax Romana, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $420k, ×673 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $160k; 1 in 20 cleared $21M, ×34819 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 10 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 673.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 10 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Rome
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for City Builder + Rome: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $160k (exactly $159,520)
Median $423k (exactly $422,831)
Top 25% $661k (exactly $661,235)
Top 5% $22M (exactly $21,866,355)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 30
Announced 10
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $24.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Rome
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder
Price point
$24.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 20,174 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $160k, median $420k, 1 in 4 over $660k, 1 in 20 over $21M.

3 in 10 developers made under $160k. 10 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  8. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  11. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced
  12. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds40 devs · median $71k · 85 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Anno 117: Pax Romana $59.99 12,150 69% 365k $22M (exactly $21,866,355) Ubisoft Mainz
Citadelum $24.99 1,005 83% 30k $753k (exactly $753,448) Abylight Barcelona
Blackthorn Arena: Reforged $24.99 882 66% 26k $661k (exactly $661,235) PersonaeGame Studio
Roman Triumph: Survival City Builder $24.99 742 83% 22k $556k (exactly $556,277) Coreffect Interactive
Pax Augusta $24.99 564 69% 17k $423k (exactly $422,831) Roger Gassmann
Caesar™ 3 older $5.99 2,125 92% 64k $382k (exactly $381,862) Impressions Games
Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition · EA older $19.99 453 74% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) JOTASOFT STUDIOS
Caesar™ IV older $9.99 821 71% 25k $246k (exactly $246,054) Tilted Mill Entertainment, Inc.
CivCity: Rome older $9.99 814 71% 24k $244k (exactly $243,956) FireFly Studios, Firaxis Games
Grand Ages: Rome older $9.99 618 76% 19k $185k (exactly $185,215) Haemimont Games
Summa Expeditionis $19.99 305 68% 9.2k $183k (exactly $182,908) Lobico Games
Pompeii: The Legacy $19.99 266 80% 8.0k $160k (exactly $159,520) Siscia Games
Explorers of Esmar · EA $15.99 35 85% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,790) Tipri Games
Nova Patria $11.99 22 100% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) Sower Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.