Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Solitaire City Builder?

City Builder + Solitaire

Only 9 developers shipped a Solitaire City Builder in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Paper Kingdom, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.3k against a market of $630. 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 315% on the market, 9 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2M → $599 → $1.6k → $3.1k
Outcomes for City Builder + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $25k (exactly $25,330)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 39
Announced 9
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 315% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder, Solitaire
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 149 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $25k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stacklands older $7.99 29,244 96% 877k $7.0M (exactly $7,009,787) Sokpop Collective
Cardboard Town older $19.99 2,051 79% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,229,985) Stratera Games, cukuto
Last Resort Island older $8.99 173 87% 5.2k $47k (exactly $46,658) rokaplay
Paper Kingdom $12.99 65 61% 2.0k $25k (exactly $25,330) obece
Railroad Ink Challenge older $7.99 88 82% 2.6k $21k (exactly $21,094) Horrible Guild
Island Cities - Jigsaw Puzzle older $1.99 214 95% 6.4k $13k (exactly $12,776) Mens Sana Interactive
WAGON $10.99 38 94% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,529) de_husk
Seven Seas Solitaire older $9.99 36 80% 1.1k $11k (exactly $10,789) Anawiki Games
Dolmenjord - Viking Islands older $2.99 92 85% 2.8k $8.3k (exactly $8,252) Mens Sana Interactive, Allan Postal
Forests, Fields and Fortresses older $4.99 49 93% 1.5k $7.3k (exactly $7,335) 9 Eyes Game Studio
Caemdale $7.99 13 76% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) JRB
Spellarium 12 $12.99 4 100% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) LGT SIA
Hell Builder $4.99 9 88% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Cuddle Code
Mahjong Expedition $8.99 4 75% 120 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) COSO
Throne of Cards $11.99 2 50% 60 $719 (exactly $719) Hidden Universe Games
OrbHand $2.99 8 100% 240 $718 (exactly $718) Jesus Rugarcia
Cursed House 6 $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) LGT SIA
XenoCard $3.99 4 75% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Hanging Hand

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.