Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a City Builder Shooter?

City Builder + Shooter

Only 13 developers shipped a City Builder Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Ember Guardian, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×3.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×265 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 20 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $419 → $12k → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for City Builder + Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $480 (exactly $480)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,338)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,946)
Top 5% $167k (exactly $166,717)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 27
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder, Shooter
Price point
$10.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 704 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Ember Guardian $19.99 278 82% 8.3k $167k (exactly $166,717) Ratbit Games
Desperate Place $10.99 253 66% 7.6k $83k (exactly $83,414) BruceGalaxy
Death row inmates on the run 2--The Resistance $6.99 86 55% 2.6k $18k (exactly $18,034) zzzgame
Final Frontier Story $8.99 48 72% 1.4k $13k (exactly $12,946) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
WarOfGods 2 $29.99 13 76% 390 $12k (exactly $11,696) Mensa World
Sky Fleet older $4.99 24 50% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Enno Games
Grabbus · EA $6.99 14 78% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Foxoplasm, LLC
Shadow of the Night $12.99 6 50% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Uğur ÇELİK
Doomsday School older $9.99 6 16% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Doomsday
Refuge older $4.99 12 75% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) CAAMS
Infinite Evo TD $4.99 4 25% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Starchase Games
SurrounDead Poly Construction $15.99 1 100% 30 $480 (exactly $480) LivingEveryday
SurrounDead Poly ‌Japan Sakura · EA $15.99 1 100% 30 $480 (exactly $480) LivingEveryday

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.