Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot City Builder?

City Builder + Robots

Only 12 developers shipped a Robot City Builder in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ZeroSpace, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.8k, ×6.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.3M, ×2218 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 22 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 22 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $12k → $18k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for City Builder + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Median $3.8k (exactly $3,835)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $18,034)
Top 5% $1.4M (exactly $1,392,852)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 36
Announced 22
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 2,202 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $3.8k, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Per Aspera older $29.99 4,105 76% 123k $3.7M (exactly $3,693,268) Tlön Industries
Automation Empire older $29.99 2,584 65% 78k $2.3M (exactly $2,324,825) DOG HOGGLER
Autonauts older $19.99 3,596 90% 108k $2.2M (exactly $2,156,521) Denki
ZeroSpace · EA $39.99 1,161 78% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,392,852) Starlance Studios, Ironward
Good Company older $24.99 1,480 73% 44k $1.1M (exactly $1,109,556) Chasing Carrots
The Colonists older $24.99 1,052 85% 32k $789k (exactly $788,684) Codebyfire
Microtopia $19.99 881 87% 26k $528k (exactly $528,336) Cordyceps Collective
Autonauts vs Piratebots older $19.99 334 80% 10k $200k (exactly $200,300) Denki
Smart Factory Tycoon older $14.99 194 67% 5.8k $87k (exactly $87,242) Turquoise Revival Games
Facteroids older $14.99 77 79% 2.3k $35k (exactly $34,627) by Jan Zizka
Death row inmates on the run 2--The Resistance $6.99 86 55% 2.6k $18k (exactly $18,034) zzzgame
WarOfGods 2 $29.99 13 76% 390 $12k (exactly $11,696) Mensa World
HexaScape: Cyber Defense $14.99 15 100% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Clockwork Origins
Ekoh Beach $7.99 16 68% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) Zenland Games
Rescue Team: Legion of Destruction $6.99 13 100% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Game Mixer
Orbiteers $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Northborne Studios
Terraspace $7.99 5 20% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Black Apple
Rogue Drone $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) KBGS

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.