Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle City Builder?

City Builder + Puzzle

Of 85 developers who shipped a Puzzle City Builder in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 115 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×184 the market median. Revenue is up 100% on the market; 115 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 100% on the market, 115 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 85
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.9k → $4.7k → $2.7k → $2.6k → $958 → $897 → $3.4k (still earning) → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for City Builder + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 85
Bottom 30% $598 (exactly $598)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,579)
Top 5% $115k (exactly $115,384)
Developers, 2 yr 85
Released games 297
Announced 115
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 100% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder, Puzzle; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Building, Simulation
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 4,480 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 55 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 115 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dorfromantik older $13.99 27,441 96% 823k $12M (exactly $11,516,988) Toukana Interactive
Mini Motorways older $9.99 23,561 96% 707k $7.1M (exactly $7,061,232) Dinosaur Polo Club
Terra Nil older $24.99 8,035 87% 241k $6.0M (exactly $6,023,840) Free Lives, Clockwork Acorn
ISLANDERS older $4.99 16,104 94% 483k $2.4M (exactly $2,410,769) Coatsink, GrizzlyGames, Stage Clear Stu… (Coatsink, GrizzlyGames, Stage Clear Studios)
Rail Route older $24.99 2,400 88% 72k $1.8M (exactly $1,799,280) Bitrich.info
Reus 2 older $24.99 2,133 94% 64k $1.6M (exactly $1,599,110) Abbey Games
Cloud Gardens older $17.99 2,102 95% 63k $1.1M (exactly $1,134,449) Noio
RAILGRADE older $29.99 1,205 84% 36k $1.1M (exactly $1,084,138) Minakata Dynamics
Urbek City Builder older $18.99 1,830 89% 55k $1.0M (exactly $1,042,551) Fridus
TerraScape older $14.99 2,068 88% 62k $930k (exactly $929,980) Bitfall Studios
ISLANDERS: New Shores $9.99 1,230 96% 37k $369k (exactly $368,631) The Station
Dawnfolk $14.99 664 94% 20k $299k (exactly $298,601) Darenn Keller
Preserve $12.49 690 92% 21k $259k (exactly $258,543) Bitmap Galaxy
Craftlings $19.99 311 86% 9.3k $187k (exactly $186,507) ARIANO Games GmbH
GRIDROAD $9.99 385 82% 12k $115k (exactly $115,384) RAJACORP
Technotopia $4.99 599 86% 18k $90k (exactly $89,670) Yustas
Check Inn $14.99 197 84% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) KishMish Games
River Towns $14.99 184 89% 5.5k $83k (exactly $82,745) Frogsong Studios
Bubblegum Galaxy $13.99 114 100% 3.4k $48k (exactly $47,846) Smarto Club
SkyShard: City Battler · EA $14.99 106 97% 3.2k $48k (exactly $47,668) ItsBen321

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.