Games › City Builder › City Builder + Mystery
Should I ship a Mystery City Builder?
City Builder + Mystery
Only 9 developers shipped a Mystery City Builder in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Techtonica, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×6.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $4.6k against a market of $630. 27 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $2.3k (exactly $2,307) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.6k (exactly $4,554) |
| Top 25% | $146k (exactly $145,954) |
| Top 5% | $2.8M (exactly $2,767,477) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 255% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- City Builder
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Mystery
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- City Builder
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 66% positive over 4,695 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
City Builder with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelStrong odds
- + LogicFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + RacingLong shot
- + RomePoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + HorrorPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Techtonica | $29.99 | 3,076 64% | 92k | $2.8M (exactly $2,767,477) | Fire Hose Games | |
| | Surviving the Abyss | $19.99 | 1,044 64% | 31k | $626k (exactly $626,087) | Rocket Flair Studios | |
| | The Succession of Changing Kings | $9.99 | 487 86% | 15k | $146k (exactly $145,954) | KwaKwaGames | |
| | Punk Wars | older | $19.99 | 99 55% | 3.0k | $59k (exactly $59,370) | Strategy Forge S.A. |
| | Madorica Real Estate | older | $16.99 | 113 92% | 3.4k | $58k (exactly $57,596) | GIFT TEN INDUSTRY K.K. |
| | Coffee Noir - Business Detective Game | older | $8.99 | 72 65% | 2.2k | $19k (exactly $19,418) | DOJI, NAOS Software, Darkpowder |
| | The HELL | · EA | $9.99 | 30 73% | 900 | $9.0k (exactly $8,991) | METROPOLICE |
| | Climber Girl | $7.99 | 19 36% | 570 | $4.6k (exactly $4,554) | AlterLab Development | |
| | Ekoh Beach | $7.99 | 16 68% | 480 | $3.8k (exactly $3,835) | Zenland Games | |
| | MyLittlePool | older | $5.99 | 17 17% | 510 | $3.1k (exactly $3,055) | SuperLoki |
| | Rescue Team: Ancient Guardian | $6.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $2.3k (exactly $2,307) | Game Mixer | |
| | Rescue Team: Attack of the Atom | $6.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $2.3k (exactly $2,307) | Game Mixer | |
| | Weeks Till Winter | $7.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $240 (exactly $240) | Subnuminal, LLC | |
| | Spellarium 14 Collector's Edition | $19.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | LGT SIA |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.