Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic City Builder?

City Builder + Magic

Of 40 developers who shipped a Magic City Builder in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 84 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.7k, ×9.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.1M, ×3495 the market median. Revenue is up 2055% on the market; 84 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 2055% on the market, 84 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.3k → $3.8k → $2.7k → $1.9k → $1.8k → $19k → $19k (still earning) → $450 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for City Builder + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Median $5.7k (exactly $5,662)
Top 25% $34k (exactly $34,183)
Top 5% $2.2M (exactly $2,194,686)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 99
Announced 84
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2055% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Building, Strategy, Base Building
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Stylized, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 12,398 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $5.7k, 1 in 4 over $34k, 1 in 20 over $2.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 9 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 84 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Becastled $19.99 5,349 81% 160k $3.2M (exactly $3,207,795) Mana Potion Studios
Lessaria: Fantasy Kingdom Sim $24.90 2,938 77% 88k $2.2M (exactly $2,194,686) Rockbee Team
Fallen Enchantress: Legendary Heroes older $24.99 1,655 78% 50k $1.2M (exactly $1,240,754) Stardock Entertainment
Gord older $49.99 809 53% 24k $1.2M (exactly $1,213,257) Covenant.dev
SpellForce 3 Fallen God older $19.99 1,335 86% 40k $801k (exactly $800,599) Grimlore Games
Conan Unconquered older $19.99 1,203 70% 36k $721k (exactly $721,439) Petroglyph
Masters of Albion · EA $24.99 607 64% 18k $455k (exactly $455,068) 22cans
Crown of Greed $19.99 680 60% 20k $408k (exactly $407,796) BLUM Entertainment
holoVillage: Our Cozy Days $24.99 518 83% 16k $388k (exactly $388,345) Roboqlo
There Are No Orcs $8.99 1,188 93% 36k $320k (exactly $320,404) BaseTrade Studio
Castle Craft $19.99 480 82% 14k $288k (exactly $287,856) Twin Earth
Loafing Town $6.99 531 85% 16k $111k (exactly $111,351) GoblinZz
Mistwinter Bay $29.99 50 84% 1.5k $45k (exactly $44,985) Swordlake Entertainment
Lords of Solgrund $19.99 57 77% 1.7k $34k (exactly $34,183) Sillylas

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.