Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Inventory Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Inventory Management City Builder?

City Builder + Inventory Management

Of 42 developers who shipped an Inventory Management City Builder in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 69 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $460k, ×738 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 69 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 69 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Inventory Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 42
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $49k → $89k → $35k → $15k → $4.0k → $2.4k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for City Builder + Inventory Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 42
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,398)
Top 25% $34k (exactly $33,583)
Top 5% $464k (exactly $463,568)
Developers, 2 yr 42
Released games 83
Announced 69
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 180% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Inventory Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder, Inventory Management; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Building, Base Building, Management
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 6,710 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $460k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 69 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Pharaoh™: A New Era older $22.99 4,811 75% 144k $3.3M (exactly $3,318,147) Triskell Interactive
Thriving City: Song older $18.99 3,054 81% 92k $1.7M (exactly $1,739,864) White Star Studio
Farm Manager 2018 older $19.99 2,524 70% 76k $1.5M (exactly $1,513,643) Cleversan Games
Farm Manager 2021 older $19.99 2,296 79% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,376,911) Cleversan Games
Mall Simulator · EA $13.99 3,139 82% 94k $1.3M (exactly $1,317,438) F13 Games
Microcivilization $17.99 1,437 78% 43k $776k (exactly $775,549) Ondrej Homola
SimCasino older $24.99 687 74% 21k $515k (exactly $515,044) LVGameDev LLC
Blood Bar Tycoon $19.99 773 79% 23k $464k (exactly $463,568) Clever Trickster Studio, Clever Trickst… (Clever Trickster Studio, Clever Trickster Productions)
City Tales - Medieval Era $22.99 543 90% 16k $375k (exactly $374,507) Irregular Shapes
Reactor Tech² older $14.99 353 68% 11k $159k (exactly $158,744) 4Co
A Hero's Rest: An RPG Town Simulator $24.99 160 67% 4.8k $120k (exactly $119,952) Vanargand Games
Time to Morp $19.99 178 79% 5.3k $107k (exactly $106,747) Team HalfBeard
Entertainment Simulator $18.99 181 73% 5.4k $103k (exactly $103,116) Grizzbera Studio
SkyShard: City Battler · EA $14.99 106 97% 3.2k $48k (exactly $47,668) ItsBen321
Exark $14.99 99 73% 3.0k $45k (exactly $44,520) Robot Cat Limited
Service Please · EA $11.99 94 78% 2.8k $34k (exactly $33,812) Dynamic Dice

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.