Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Hack and Slash

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hack and Slash City Builder?

City Builder + Hack and Slash

Only 12 developers shipped a Hack and Slash City Builder in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Monsters are Coming!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.5k, ×10 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $730k, ×1167 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 26 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 26 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Hack and Slash
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for City Builder + Hack and Slash: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $6.5k (exactly $6,473)
Top 25% $288k (exactly $287,856)
Top 5% $733k (exactly $733,045)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 32
Announced 26
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Hack and Slash
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder, Hack and Slash
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 4,778 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $6.5k, 1 in 4 over $280k, 1 in 20 over $730k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 26 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ni no Kuni™ II: Revenant Kingdom older $59.99 8,100 82% 243k $15M (exactly $14,577,570) LEVEL5 Inc.
Kingdom Heroes 8 older $29.99 12,793 55% 384k $12M (exactly $11,509,862) USERJOY Technology Co.,Ltd.
下一站江湖Ⅱ older $24.99 8,507 72% 255k $6.4M (exactly $6,377,698) 白玉京工作室
Grand Ages: Medieval older $19.99 1,565 47% 47k $939k (exactly $938,530) Gaming Minds Studios
Monsters are Coming! $8.99 2,718 79% 82k $733k (exactly $733,045) Ludogram
Actraiser Renaissance older $29.99 708 74% 21k $637k (exactly $636,988) Square Enix, Sonic Powered
Anomaly President · EA $14.99 1,376 91% 41k $619k (exactly $618,787) Phew Phew Games
Castle Craft $19.99 480 82% 14k $288k (exactly $287,856) Twin Earth
Crystarise · EA older $15.99 248 77% 7.4k $119k (exactly $118,966) YUKIUSAGI Games
Smelter older $19.99 165 64% 5.0k $99k (exactly $98,950) X PLUS Co., Ltd.
Kingdom's Return: Time-Eating Fruit and the Ancient Monster $14.99 90 52% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,473) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
MIGLORN $9.99 54 68% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) WuzzyWizard
Misty Land $8.99 24 79% 720 $6.5k (exactly $6,473) Branches Games
Crypt Keeper $9.99 20 100% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Viron Games
Knights of Conquest: Feudal Shenanigans Galore · EA $11.99 10 80% 300 $3.6k (exactly $3,597) ES Galore
Paddle Protectors $5.99 5 60% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Huhi Games
SurrounDead Poly ‌Japan Sakura · EA $15.99 1 100% 30 $480 (exactly $480) LivingEveryday

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.