Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Fishing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fishing City Builder?

City Builder + Fishing

Only 9 developers shipped a Fishing City Builder in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Go-Go Town!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×7.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $2.0M, ×3311 the market median. Revenue is up 4075% on the market; 26 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 4075% on the market, 26 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Fishing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.3k → $80k → $4.8k → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for City Builder + Fishing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $4.8k (exactly $4,788)
Top 25% $153k (exactly $152,513)
Top 5% $2.1M (exactly $2,079,097)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 27
Announced 26
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4075% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder, Fishing
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 13,945 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $4.8k, 1 in 4 over $150k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 26 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Littlewood older $14.99 6,083 93% 182k $2.7M (exactly $2,735,525) Sean Young
Go-Go Town! $27.99 2,476 93% 74k $2.1M (exactly $2,079,097) Prideful Sloth
Critter Cove · EA older $24.99 1,735 94% 52k $1.3M (exactly $1,300,730) Gentleman Rat Studios
Tribe: Primitive Builder older $19.99 670 79% 20k $402k (exactly $401,799) Space Boat Studios, Baked Games
Slow living with Princess older $19.99 580 87% 17k $348k (exactly $347,826) KADOKAWA, TSUKURITE.
My Little Life $5.99 1,043 89% 31k $187k (exactly $187,427) 9FingerGames
Creator Chronicles $11.99 424 64% 13k $153k (exactly $152,513) Origin Studio
Loafing Town $6.99 531 85% 16k $111k (exactly $111,351) GoblinZz
Land Of Idyllic Beauty · EA older $11.99 222 83% 6.7k $80k (exactly $79,853) Neo
Tropical Resort Story older $10.99 181 87% 5.4k $60k (exactly $59,676) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
TinyCraft Town $3.99 40 60% 1.2k $4.8k (exactly $4,788) Overaction Game Studio, ReiVax
Dreamland Farm $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) RedDeer.Games
Enclaved $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Digital Platforms Co.
Alfons World $1.99 3 66% 90 $179 (exactly $179) Dog On God
Cosyland: Island Simulator $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Stormade Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.