Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Destruction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Destruction City Builder?

City Builder + Destruction

Only 8 developers shipped a Destruction City Builder in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Castle Craft, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59. 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper, while momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 27 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Destruction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $118k → $2.4k (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for City Builder + Destruction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,398)
Top 5% $288k (exactly $287,856)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 33
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 600% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder, Destruction
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 43,767 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $300, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tropico 6 older $39.99 19,837 88% 595k $24M (exactly $23,798,449) Limbic Entertainment, Realmforge Studios
Dawn of Man older $24.99 17,094 86% 513k $13M (exactly $12,815,372) Madruga Works
Hotel Renovator older $24.99 2,223 77% 67k $1.7M (exactly $1,666,583) Two Horizons
Ruinarch older $24.99 1,336 62% 40k $1.0M (exactly $1,001,599) Maccima Games LLC
Conan Unconquered older $19.99 1,203 70% 36k $721k (exactly $721,439) Petroglyph
Actraiser Renaissance older $29.99 708 74% 21k $637k (exactly $636,988) Square Enix, Sonic Powered
Castle Craft $19.99 480 82% 14k $288k (exactly $287,856) Twin Earth
Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition · EA older $19.99 453 74% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) JOTASOFT STUDIOS
I Am Your President older $14.99 263 66% 7.9k $118k (exactly $118,271) President
T-Minus 30 older $9.99 170 92% 5.1k $51k (exactly $50,949) Dejobaan Games, Grey Alien Games
Apocalypse Factory · EA $9.99 8 50% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Mind Leak
Wood'N'Destroy $3.99 16 93% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) Abyssal Interactive
GodWright $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) JaceDev
Neo-Exodus: Last Bastion $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) GODev Games
Hon Cars $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Bolfosu Nalic
Escape the End · EA $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Damaged Development Studio
Grainhold $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) CreakGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.